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3 Auto Replacement Stocks to Benefit From Industry Trends
ZACKS· 2025-03-10 15:00
Core Viewpoint - The Zacks Automotive Replacement Parts industry is experiencing growth due to an aging vehicle fleet, increased complexity of modern vehicles, and rising car prices driven by tariffs, making repairs a more attractive option for consumers [1][5]. Industry Overview - The industry includes companies that produce, market, and distribute replacement components for the automotive aftermarket, focusing on essential parts like engines, brakes, and gearboxes [2]. - The market is less sensitive to economic downturns as consumers prioritize vehicle maintenance over purchasing new cars [2]. Key Themes Shaping the Industry - The average age of vehicles in the U.S. reached 12.6 years in 2024, leading to increased demand for repairs and maintenance [3]. - The shift towards electrification and advanced technologies in vehicles is creating new opportunities for skilled technicians and diagnostic tools [4]. - Upcoming tariffs on imported vehicles are expected to raise new car prices significantly, prompting more consumers to opt for repairs [5]. Tariffs and Supply Chain Impact - Tariffs on parts from Canada and Mexico could disrupt the supply chain, raising costs for automakers and consumers, and potentially leading to job losses [6]. Industry Ranking and Performance - The Zacks Automotive – Replacement Parts industry ranks 51, placing it in the top 21% of around 250 Zacks industries, indicating solid near-term prospects [7][8]. - The industry has underperformed compared to the Auto, Tires, and Truck sector and the S&P 500, with a 14% decline over the past year [10]. Current Valuation - The industry is trading at an EV/EBITDA ratio of 8.87X, significantly lower than the S&P 500's 17.08X and the sector's 18.27X, suggesting attractive valuation compared to historical levels [12]. Company Highlights - **Standard Motor Products (SMP)**: Focuses on premium automotive replacement parts, with a recent acquisition aimed at expanding its global presence. The company has a low long-term debt-to-capital ratio of 0.18 and has repurchased $10.4 million in shares [14][15]. - **LKQ Corporation**: A leading provider of replacement parts, with a recent acquisition enhancing its distribution capabilities. The company returned $678 million to shareholders in 2024 [17][18]. - **Dorman Products**: Specializes in replacement and upgrade parts, with a strong balance sheet and a low debt-to-capitalization ratio of 25%. The company has consistently surpassed earnings estimates [20][21].