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蓝思科技_花旗 2025 中国会议新动态_2026 年增长动力未减
花旗· 2025-11-16 15:36
Investment Rating - The investment rating for Lens Technology is "Buy" with a target price of Rmb38.00, indicating an expected share price return of 27.4% and an expected total return of 28.9% [7]. Core Insights - Key growth drivers for Lens Technology in 2026 include advancements in foldable phones, automotive laminated glass for new energy vehicles (NEVs), AI glass development, increased robot shipments, and faster SSD module assembly [1]. - The company anticipates significant revenue from humanoid robots, with projections of supplying over 10,000 units in 2026 and achieving breakeven at an annual production of 100,000 units [2]. - Lens Technology is also expanding its high-end smartphone offerings, expecting an increase in average selling price (ASP) due to new models and materials [4]. - In the automotive sector, the company plans to support over 1 million vehicles in 2026 with a targeted gross margin of 20-30% on its laminated glass products [5]. - The company is positioned to supply over 1 million AI edge devices in 2026, with ongoing negotiations for additional content and features [9]. - The valuation is based on a target price of Rmb38.00, supported by a projected 31% three-year earnings compound annual growth rate (CAGR) [14]. Summary by Sections Humanoid Robots - Lens Technology is supplying over 1,000 dexterous hands and 3,000 humanoid robots in 2025, with additional orders for 10,000 robot dogs, potentially generating hundreds of millions in revenue [2]. Server Products - The company's SSD products are currently undergoing verification, with expectations for completion in the coming months [3]. High-End Smartphones - The company expects an incremental content gain of less than $100 per foldable phone model in the second half of 2026, with positive shipment forecasts [4]. Automotive Sector - Lens Technology will have the capacity to support over 1 million vehicles in 2026, with ASPs ranging from Rmb3,000 to Rmb4,000 [5]. AI Edge Devices - The company is set to support over 300,000 Rokid AI glasses in 2025 and over 1 million in 2026, with ongoing negotiations for additional features [9].