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Loan Pricing, AI Marketing, Fee Collection, QC, Borrower Mining Tools; $2 Trillion in 2025? Non-Agency Marches On
Mortgage News Daily· 2025-09-25 15:45
Core Insights - The U.S. homeowners currently hold a record $17.8 trillion in equity, with $11.6 trillion being tappable, indicating a strong potential for continued HELOC and second mortgage offerings [1] - The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) anticipates a rise in overall origination points from $1.7 trillion last year to $2 trillion this year, with unit origination expected to increase from 4.572 million to 5.598 million [1] - Non-QM loans have seen a significant growth of 53% over the past year, increasing their market share from 5.21% to 8%, with projections suggesting a potential rise to 15% in less than two years if the current growth rate continues [8][9] Industry Trends - The mortgage market is experiencing a shift towards non-agency loans, with innovative lending solutions becoming increasingly necessary as traditional banks withdraw from conventional lending [8][9] - The introduction of AI-powered tools, such as ACES Intelligence, is redefining quality control in mortgage services, enhancing efficiency and productivity for loan reviews and compliance [4] - The updated MeridianLink® Mortgage product suite aims to streamline the mortgage lending process, providing lenders with greater control and efficiency [2] Economic Indicators - New home sales unexpectedly surged by 20.5% in August, attributed to lower mortgage rates and builder incentives, although caution is advised due to the volatility of the data [17][18] - The overall trend in new home sales has been relatively flat, with expectations of a slowdown in single-family construction impacting GDP growth in the coming quarters [18] - Seasonal hiring in 2025 is projected to decline, reflecting ongoing economic uncertainty and a shift towards leaner staffing strategies among companies [13]