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Applied Digital Stock: Valuing The AI Infrastructure Play
Forbes· 2025-12-08 10:25
Core Insights - Applied Digital Corporation (NASDAQ: APLD) specializes in AI-focused data centers and high-performance computing (HPC) facilities, with its stock increasing nearly 22% over the past five trading days and approximately 4x year-to-date, driven by favorable trends in the AI sector [2] - The completion of its first AI data center, a 100-megawatt facility in North Dakota, has provided investors with confidence in the company's ability to meet its ambitious infrastructure goals [2] - The company's current valuation is close to $9 billion, with a high forward revenue multiple of 33x, raising questions about the sustainability of its stock rally [2] Company Overview - Applied Digital develops custom-built AI data centers designed to meet the extreme power density, cooling requirements, and scalability needs of accelerated computing, utilizing liquid cooling and renewable energy solutions [4] - The company’s tailored approach gives it a competitive advantage over traditional colocation and cloud service providers, as it refines each component specifically for GPUs and high-density computation [5] Market Position - Expenditures by major tech companies on AI infrastructure are projected to exceed $380 billion in 2025 and potentially reach over $500 billion by 2026, creating a significant demand for purpose-built data centers [6] - Applied Digital is strategically positioned to benefit from this trend, constructing and operating AI/HPC campuses while leasing power capacity to hyperscalers through long-term agreements, ensuring predictable multi-year revenue [7] Service Offerings - The company is enhancing its service offerings through the Applied Digital Cloud, providing GPU-as-a-Service to enterprises, and partnering with Nvidia and Super Micro to deploy optimized GPU nodes for AI and HPC workloads [8] Financial Projections - Despite a high valuation, Applied Digital is expected to experience rapid growth, with anticipated revenue growth of around 38% for 2026 and approximately 85% for 2027, driven by increasing AI workloads [9] - The company’s multi-gigawatt capacity pipeline and dedicated anchor customers position it as a key beneficiary in the growing AI data center market [9] Competitive Landscape - The market for AI data center services is becoming increasingly competitive, with traditional hyperscalers and cloud providers expanding their capabilities, which may impact Applied Digital's margins and customer acquisition [10]