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因 ASIC 液冷趋势上升及机架级人工智能服务器增长,上调 2026 年预期;2026 年总可寻址市场(TAM)增长 66%-Global Tech_ Raising 2026E on ASIC rising liquid cooling trend and rack-level AI servers ramp up; +66% TAM growth in 2026E
2025-07-19 14:57
Summary of Global Tech Conference Call Industry Overview - The report focuses on the **Global Server Cooling** market, particularly the adoption of **liquid cooling** technologies in AI servers and ASIC servers [1][21][28]. Key Points Market Growth and Projections - The **Total Addressable Market (TAM)** for liquid cooling in AI training servers is projected to grow to **US$3.8 billion** in 2025 and **US$7.9 billion** in 2026, representing a **171%** and **106%** year-over-year growth respectively [1][15]. - The overall **Global Server Cooling TAM** is revised to **US$7.2 billion** in 2025 and **US$12.0 billion** in 2026, reflecting a **98%** and **66%** year-over-year growth [21][29]. Liquid Cooling Adoption Rates - Liquid cooling penetration for AI training servers is expected to rise from **15%** in 2024 to **45%** in 2025 and **74%** in 2026 [1][22]. - Full rack AI training servers will have a **100%** liquid cooling penetration rate, while baseboard-based AI training servers will see penetration rates of **27%** in 2025 and **52%** in 2026 [4][22]. Segment Analysis - For **general/HPC/AI inferencing servers**, liquid cooling penetration is anticipated to increase from **1%** in 2024 to **4%** in 2025 and **6%** in 2026 [23]. - The report indicates a potential upside from **ASIC servers**, with liquid cooling adoption driven by advancements in ASIC chips and improved ROI [28]. Component Breakdown - The TAM for liquid cooling components is detailed as follows: - **Cold plates**: US$1.1 billion in 2025, growing to US$2.2 billion in 2026 - **Manifold**: US$897 million in 2025, increasing to US$1.6 billion in 2026 - **Rear Door Heat Exchanger (RDHx)**: US$214 million in 2025, rising to US$283 million in 2026 - **Sidecar**: US$1.3 billion in 2025, reaching US$2.4 billion in 2026 - **CDU/RPU**: US$779 million in 2025, escalating to US$2.2 billion in 2026 [13][29]. Competitive Landscape - Key suppliers in the liquid cooling market include: - **Hon Hai**: Buy rating, market cap of US$77.1 billion - **Quanta**: Neutral rating, market cap of US$35.6 billion - **Wiwynn**: Buy rating, market cap of US$15.9 billion - **Lenovo**: Buy rating, market cap of US$15.9 billion - **Dell**: Buy rating, market cap of US$85.3 billion [32]. Additional Insights - The report highlights the importance of **liquid cooling** in meeting the increasing power demands of AI servers, particularly as computing power continues to rise [1][10]. - The adoption of liquid cooling technologies is expected to be a significant driver for the growth of the server cooling market, with major tech companies like Amazon, Microsoft, and Google investing in these solutions [28]. This summary encapsulates the critical insights from the conference call regarding the trends, projections, and competitive landscape of the global server cooling market, particularly focusing on liquid cooling technologies.