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Quant Buys In Cannabis (undefined:GTBIF)
Seeking Alpha· 2025-09-11 20:50
carlofranco/iStock via Getty Images Listen here or on the go via Apple Podcasts and Spotify Cannabis has bipartisan support, but is it worthy of your investment? Quant Strategist Emma Johnston covers how quant thinks about sector ETF MSOS (0:25). Buys becoming sells and vice versa (4:55). MSOS risks (8:18). US based cannabis buys (14:40). Is Green Thumb (OTCQX:GTBIF) a buy? (19:45) Transcript Rena Sherbill: Very happy to welcome to Investing Experts, our Quant Strategist, Emma Johnston. Welcome to th ...
Quant Buys In Cannabis
Seeking Alpha· 2025-09-11 20:50
Group 1: Industry Overview - The cannabis sector is experiencing a rally due to proposed regulatory changes and potential descheduling of cannabis, which has garnered bipartisan support [4][6][59] - The AdvisorShares Pure US Cannabis ETF (MSOS) is highlighted as a significant investment vehicle with approximately $840 million in assets under management, providing concentrated exposure to the US cannabis market [6][12] - The cannabis industry is characterized by high volatility and regulatory uncertainty, presenting both risks and potential upside for investors [7][10][20] Group 2: ETF Analysis - MSOS has shown excellent momentum and decent liquidity, which has contributed to its recent upgrade from a sell to a buy rating [10][12] - The quant evaluation of ETFs includes metrics such as momentum, expenses, risk, and liquidity, which are crucial for assessing investment opportunities [8][25] - The ETF's structure involves investment swaps to comply with federal regulations, allowing it to gain exposure to US cannabis companies indirectly [21][22] Group 3: Company Insights - Verano Holdings (OTCQX:VRNOF) is identified as a strong buy with a market cap of around $500 million, showing promising growth and profitability metrics despite the overall sector's challenges [27][30] - Vext Science (OTCQX:VEXTF) is another notable company with a market cap of approximately $60 million, demonstrating strong profitability and growth potential [35][36] - Green Thumb (OTCQX:GTBIF) is recognized for its strong balance sheet but faces challenges in growth and earnings revisions, leading to a hold rating [47][50] Group 4: Market Sentiment and Future Outlook - The cannabis sector is viewed as speculative, with investors advised to approach it cautiously, recognizing the potential for both high rewards and significant risks [14][20] - The ongoing political discussions and potential legislative changes are expected to influence market sentiment and investment strategies in the cannabis industry [18][59] - Canadian cannabis companies, such as Tilray (TLRY) and SNDL, are noted for their more mature market presence, offering a different risk profile compared to US-based companies [38][39]