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KTOS vs. ESLT: Which Defense Stock Leads the Unmanned Systems Boom?
ZACKS· 2025-11-25 13:51
Core Insights - Governments globally are increasing defense budgets to modernize military capabilities, attracting investor interest in defense contractors focused on high-growth military technology areas [1] - Companies like Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. (KTOS) and Elbit Systems (ESLT) are well-positioned due to their advanced systems portfolios, including unmanned aerial vehicles and missile defense technologies [1][2] Defense Spending Trends - Significant capital is being invested in autonomous defense technologies and military drones, as modern warfare emphasizes speed, precision, and reduced human exposure [2] - Unmanned systems are crucial for surveillance and strike missions, minimizing risks to soldiers in high-risk environments [2] Technological Advancements - Military drones and autonomous systems enhance situational awareness and operational effectiveness through advanced sensors and AI-driven targeting [3] - Real-time data links allow commanders to make informed decisions quickly, improving mission efficiency [3] Company Performance: Kratos Defense (KTOS) - KTOS is experiencing robust growth in its unmanned systems segment, with revenues increasing by 35.8% year-over-year and operating income rising by 575% in Q3 2025 [4][9] - The company is expanding its global presence through new contracts and investments in next-generation platforms, positioning itself for long-term growth [5] Company Performance: Elbit Systems (ESLT) - ESLT is also seeing strong momentum in its unmanned systems business, driven by demand from global defense agencies [6] - The company has secured major multi-year contracts, including one valued at approximately $2.3 billion, enhancing long-term revenue visibility [7] Earnings Estimates - Zacks Consensus Estimates indicate KTOS's EPS growth of 4.08% and 38.95% for 2025 and 2026, respectively [8] - ESLT's EPS is expected to grow by 39.27% and 16.6% in 2025 and 2026, respectively [10] Valuation Comparison - KTOS has a forward Price/Sales (P/S F12M) multiple of 7.98, while ESLT's is 2.41, making ESLT more attractive from a valuation perspective [12] Debt Position - KTOS has no total debt to capital, while ESLT's ratio is 7.61% [13] - Interest coverage for KTOS is 11.8, compared to ESLT's 4.1, indicating KTOS's stronger ability to meet interest obligations [13] Stock Performance - Over the past year, KTOS shares have increased by 183.2%, while ESLT shares have risen by 86.9% [14] Investment Recommendation - Both companies are key players in advanced military technology, particularly in unmanned systems [15] - KTOS is currently favored due to its superior price performance and management compared to ESLT, with both stocks holding a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold) [16]