CareDx FY Conference Summary Company Overview - **Company**: CareDx (NasdaqGM:CDNA) - **Date of Conference**: December 03, 2025 - **Key Speakers**: CEO John Hanna, COO Keith Kennedy Key Points Industry and Company Performance - CareDx reported strong growth across all business segments in Q3 2025 - **Testing Services**: Up nearly 19% year-over-year - **Patient and Digital Services**: Grew by 30% - **Lab Products**: Increased by 22% - The company's strategy focuses on solution selling, enhancing efficiency for transplant centers, and post-transplant monitoring [2][4][5] Product Launches and Innovations - Launched **AlloSure Heart** for pediatric patients and validated it for simultaneous pancreas and kidney transplants [4] - Introduced **HistoMap** and **AlloSure Plus**, enhancing monitoring capabilities for clinicians [5][6] - Evidence generation from studies like **AlloSure 2** and **AlloSure 3** supports product adoption and demonstrates the effectiveness of their tests [6][21][22] Revenue Cycle Management - Achieved record cash collections in Q3, with over 120% of revenue collected in cash [9][10] - Focus on operational excellence and automation in revenue cycle management [9][10] - Targeting a blended revenue per test of $1,000, with a 10% increase anticipated [10] Capital Allocation Strategy - Generated $35 million in cash last quarter, with $75 million used for share repurchases [16][18] - Aiming for a 20% EBITDA margin and a disciplined approach to capital allocation [18][20] - Preference for share buybacks due to perceived undervaluation of stock [20] Regulatory and Market Dynamics - Draft LCD proposal from Medicare includes coverage for surveillance testing, with potential revenue impacts discussed [38][39] - Two scenarios outlined regarding the finalization of the LCD, with a focus on increasing testing frequency for better patient outcomes [40][41] Future Clinical Studies and Product Pipeline - Plans for additional publications on **AlloSure** and **HeartCare** in 2026 [27] - Ongoing trials for **AlloSure Lung** and **Acrobat** for stem cell transplantation, with results expected in 2026 [27][43] - Anticipated launch of **HistoMap Kidney** in early 2026, enhancing diagnostic capabilities for rejection types [49] Competitive Positioning - CareDx differentiates itself by offering a comprehensive solution set, including software products and services tailored to transplant centers [31][32] - The company emphasizes its role as a leader in the transplant space, focusing on clinician and patient support [35][36] Conclusion - CareDx is positioned for continued growth with a strong product pipeline, effective revenue management, and a clear strategy for capital allocation and market expansion [2][4][9][16][18]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Adjusted revenue for Q2 2025 was $90.5 million, representing a 14% year-over-year increase [8][26] - Adjusted EBITDA was $9.1 million, compared to an adjusted loss of $0.3 million in the previous year [8][31] - Cash collections accelerated to 105% of adjusted testing services revenue, with payment per test increasing across all tests and payer classes [22] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Adjusted testing services revenue was $66 million, up 14% year-over-year, with approximately 49,500 tests delivered, marking an 8th consecutive quarter of sequential testing volume growth [9][28] - Patient and Digital Solutions revenue was approximately $12.8 million, representing a 19% growth compared to last year [23][28] - Lab products revenue was $11.8 million, up 12% year-over-year, driven by sales of AlloSeq Tx kits [25][28] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Kidney testing volume grew nearly 20% year-over-year, with over 60 surveillance protocols implemented nationally [10][12] - Heart and lung testing also saw growth, although lung represents a smaller proportion of overall volume [45] - The company added 4.2 million new covered lives for AlloMap Heart, becoming an in-network provider with a large commercial health plan covering 1.2 million lives [17] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company launched AlloSure Plus, an AI-driven diagnostic for kidney transplant monitoring, aiming to enhance clinical decision-making [11] - CareDx is focusing on expanding its market access strategy and evidence generation to support its products [15] - The company is improving its enterprise infrastructure and business processes to ensure revenue growth outpaces operating expenses [21] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management reaffirmed the midpoint of 2025 revenue guidance, narrowing the range to $367 million to $373 million, with expectations of mid-teens growth in test volumes [8][32] - The draft LCD policy for molecular testing is viewed as a significant step forward, affirming coverage for surveillance testing [18] - Management expressed confidence in the operational excellence initiatives and the potential impact of the draft policy on future financial expectations [21][32] Other Important Information - Abhishek Jain announced his retirement as CFO, with Nathan Smith appointed as the new CFO [35][36] - The company is implementing Epic integration to enhance testing order processes and improve results delivery [21] Q&A Session Summary Question: Discussion on the LCD and potential headwinds - Management highlighted three focus areas for public comments: frequency testing, evidence supporting heart care, and bundled payments [40] Question: Data on heart and lung test volume growth - Heart and lung testing volumes grew, with continued positive trends in transplant volumes [45] Question: Changes to the long-range plan due to the draft LCD - No updates to the long-range plan will be provided until clarity on the final LCD is achieved [50] Question: Clarification on the $30 million headwind scenario - The $30 million headwind was calculated based on the attachment rate of heart care being over 90% [52] Question: Updated split on surveillance versus for-cause testing - There is a significant shift towards surveillance testing, but specific metrics are not being disclosed [56]