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Oil & Gas Drilling Is Struggling - But These 3 Names Stand Out
ZACKS· 2025-06-18 13:25
Industry Overview - The Zacks Oil and Gas - Drilling industry includes companies providing rigs and services for oil and natural gas exploration and development, with operations both onshore and offshore [2] - Drilling for hydrocarbons is capital-intensive and technically challenging, primarily influenced by contracting activity rather than oil or gas prices [2] - Offshore drilling companies exhibit higher volatility compared to onshore counterparts, with their share prices more closely correlated to oil and gas prices [2] Current Challenges - The industry is facing significant challenges due to contracting delays, soft gas prices, and macroeconomic uncertainty, leading to a Zacks Industry Rank of 235, placing it in the bottom 4% of 245 Zacks industries [1][7] - Earnings estimates for the industry have declined sharply, with a drop of 85.2% for 2025 and 51.7% for 2026 over the past year, indicating a negative outlook [9] - The industry has underperformed compared to the broader Zacks Oil - Energy sector and the S&P 500, with a decline of 38.6% over the past year versus a 2.1% increase in the sector and a 9.1% gain in the S&P 500 [11] Market Trends - Macroeconomic uncertainty is causing hesitation in customer decision-making, slowing the pace of tenders and contract awards, and making near-term earnings visibility difficult for drillers [3] - There are concerns about premature rig reactivation leading to oversupply, particularly in deepwater segments, which could undermine pricing power and margins [4] - Despite short-term challenges, long-term demand for deepwater drilling is expected to grow, with forecasts indicating a 40% increase in investment by 2030, supported by large undeveloped reserves and major project approvals [5] Company Highlights - **Transocean Ltd. (RIG)**: Reported contract drilling revenues of $906 million in Q1 2025, an 18.7% increase year-over-year, with a market capitalization of $2.9 billion and a projected earnings growth of 123.1% for 2025 [18] - **Patterson-UTI Energy (PTEN)**: Generated $51 million in adjusted free cash flow in Q1 2025, with a market capitalization of $2.5 billion and a dividend yield of nearly 5% [21] - **Precision Drilling Corporation (PDS)**: Canada’s largest drilling rig contractor, with a market capitalization of $687.3 million, has seen its earnings estimate for 2025 increase from $3.84 to $4.13 per share in the past 60 days [24]