Azimuth and surface drives
Search documents
Twin Disc Climbs 70% in 6 Months: Should You Buy the Stock?
ZACKS· 2025-09-11 18:16
Core Viewpoint - Twin Disc, Incorporated (TWIN) has experienced a significant share price increase of 70.4% over the past six months, outperforming the industry growth of 11.6% and other competitors like Flowserve Corporation and Nordson Corporation [1] Company Overview - Twin Disc, established in 1918, specializes in designing, manufacturing, and selling marine and heavy-duty off-highway power transmission equipment, with operations in North America and Europe and distribution in the Asia-Pacific [3] - The product portfolio includes marine transmissions, azimuth and surface drives, propellers, power-shift transmissions, torque converters, industrial clutches, control systems, and braking systems, serving various markets through a global sales network [3] Key Tailwinds - Rising global defense spending is a major tailwind, with TWIN positioned to capture a growing defense pipeline valued at $50–75 million, which now accounts for approximately 15% of the backlog [4] - The company leads in hybrid and electrification solutions, capitalizing on sustainability trends by offering electric and hybrid systems that significantly reduce emissions and fuel consumption [5] - Strategic acquisitions have expanded TWIN's product offerings and geographic reach, diversifying revenue sources and creating synergies in manufacturing and distribution [6][7] Operational Strengths - TWIN benefits from operational initiatives that enhance margins and responsiveness, alongside a strong balance sheet that supports long-term growth [8] - The company targets a free cash flow conversion above 60% and has significantly reduced leverage from 5.5x in FY21 to 0.8x in FY25, with ambitious revenue and margin goals for 2030 [8] Challenges - Nearly 60% of TWIN's revenues come from cyclical marine and oil & gas sectors, making it vulnerable to economic fluctuations, particularly in Europe [9] - The transition to hybrid systems faces challenges such as high costs and fragmented supply chains, along with exposure to currency and geopolitical risks due to global operations [9] Valuation - TWIN is currently undervalued, trading at 0.58X trailing 12-month EV/sales, significantly lower than the industry average of 3.64X and peers like Flowserve and Nordson [10] Conclusion - The company is strategically transforming its business through defense expansion, electrification, and acquisitions, supported by operational discipline and a robust balance sheet, positioning it well to navigate near-term volatility [11][12]