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Is Intuitive Machines a Buy After Athena's Disappointing Landing?
MarketBeatยท 2025-03-18 12:21
Core Viewpoint - Intuitive Machines faced a significant setback with the landing of its lunar lander Athena, which landed sideways and failed to meet operational expectations, leading to a sharp decline in stock value [1][2][3]. Group 1: Athena Landing Details - Athena landed in a crater 250 meters away from its intended target and could only operate for less than 24 hours, far below the planned 10 days [3]. - The primary payload, designed to search for frozen water, likely did not function due to the lander's position, and other payloads also failed to meet their objectives [4][5]. - Similar issues with laser rangefinders were observed in Athena as with the previous lander, Odysseus, indicating a lack of learning from past failures [6]. Group 2: Market Reaction and Stock Performance - Following the news of Athena's landing, Intuitive Machines' shares dropped sharply, experiencing three consecutive trading days with declines of 20% or more, resulting in a 56% decrease from the start of 2025 [2][10]. - The current stock price is $7.91, with a 12-month price forecast of $16.38, suggesting a potential upside of 107.02% based on analyst ratings [10]. Group 3: Future Prospects - Despite the setbacks, Intuitive Machines has contracts with NASA for two more lunar landings, with the next mission, IM-3, scheduled for late 2025 or early 2026 [9]. - The company's ability to secure future contracts may be jeopardized if it cannot demonstrate improved performance compared to competitors [10][11]. - Intuitive Machines is also developing various space technologies beyond landers, which could provide long-term growth potential if future missions succeed [13].