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Should You Avoid ASTS Stock Amid Declining Estimate Revisions?
ZACKS· 2026-02-11 15:31
Core Insights - Earnings estimates for AST SpaceMobile, Inc. (ASTS) for 2025 and 2026 have been revised downwards by 10.3% and 28.6%, indicating a projected loss of $1.07 and $0.90 per share respectively, reflecting bearish sentiments about the stock's growth potential [1][7] Financial Performance - Current earnings estimates for the current quarter and next quarter remain at -$0.18 and -$0.21 respectively, while the estimates for the current year and next year have been adjusted to -$1.07 and -$0.90 [2] Market Conditions - Unfavorable macroeconomic conditions such as rising inflation, higher interest rates, capital market volatility, tariff imposition, and geopolitical conflicts have negatively impacted AST SpaceMobile, leading to fluctuations in satellite material prices and increased capital costs [3] Operational Challenges - The company faces high infrastructure setup costs and significant research and development expenses for advanced satellite technology, expecting substantial expenditures in the coming months to build and launch new satellites [4] Competitive Landscape - AST SpaceMobile is experiencing stiff competition from industry leaders like SpaceX's Starlink and Globalstar, necessitating continuous upgrades to service offerings, which increases operational costs [5][8] Technological Advancements - The company has completed the rollout of BlueBird 6, its first next-generation satellite, which features a 3.5x increase in size and 10x data capacity compared to previous models, with plans to launch BlueBird 7 in late February [9] Patent Portfolio - AST SpaceMobile's technology is supported by over 3,800 patents and patent-pending claims, aiming to provide worldwide cellular coverage and enhance mobile networks without the need for special equipment [10] Stock Performance - AST SpaceMobile's stock has surged 248.6% over the past year, significantly outperforming the industry growth of 39.3% and its peers, indicating strong market interest despite the challenges faced [11]
Should You Avoid ASTS Stock Post Lackluster Q3 Performance?
ZACKS· 2025-11-14 13:12
Core Insights - AST SpaceMobile, Inc. (ASTS) reported disappointing Q3 2025 results, with a net loss of $122.9 million or 45 cents per share, which was wider than the expected loss of 18 cents, and revenues of $14.7 million fell short of the $21 million consensus estimate [1][8] Financial Performance - The company faced unfavorable macroeconomic conditions, including rising inflation, higher interest rates, and capital market volatility, which adversely impacted its financial performance [2] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for AST SpaceMobile's losses for 2025 and 2026 has widened significantly, indicating growing pessimism about the company's growth potential [12] Operational Challenges - High infrastructure setup costs and R&D expenses for advanced satellite technology are expected to lead to significant expenditures in the coming months as the company plans to build and launch new satellites [3] - Continuous customization of network offerings and enhancement of satellite data networks are necessary to remain competitive, resulting in increased operating costs [2] Strategic Developments - Despite recent challenges, AST SpaceMobile is on track to deploy 45-60 satellites by the end of 2026, having already launched its first five commercial satellites, known as BlueBird [5][8] - The BlueBird satellites feature the largest commercial communications arrays and aim to provide non-continuous service across the U.S. [5] Partnerships - AST SpaceMobile has formed partnerships with major carriers like AT&T and Verizon to enhance its satellite network and customer reach [9][10] - A definitive commercial agreement with AT&T extends until 2030, aiming to integrate space-based technology with AT&T's mobile network [9] - Verizon has committed $100 million for satellite direct-to-cellular service, enhancing coverage and connectivity in remote areas [10] Market Performance - AST SpaceMobile's stock has surged 153.5% over the past year, outperforming the industry and peers like Aviat Networks and Comtech Telecommunications [11] - The company's recent performance and estimate revisions suggest a cautious outlook, with a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) indicating a neutral stance on investment [15]