Bourbon Whisky
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Alcoholic Update: TFF Group 6M results & Mercosur-EU Trade agreement
Value And Opportunity· 2026-01-13 08:01
Company Performance - TFF Group reported a significant decline in sales of approximately 25% and a net profit decrease of 33% for the first six months [1] - The operating leverage was noted to be modest, with a previous year’s 9% sales decline resulting in a 40% profit decline, indicating better cost management this year [1] - Wine sales performed relatively better than Bourbon Whisky, which experienced a sharp drop in production [1] Market Outlook - The market had anticipated the poor performance, and TFF's outlook for the remainder of the financial year is somewhat optimistic, projecting a full-year revenue decline of 20-25% [3] - Analysts expect earnings per share (EPS) of 1.25 EUR for FY 2026/2027 and 1.62 EUR for 2027/2028, which may support the current share price [4] Industry Developments - The EU has signed a trade agreement with the Mercosur region, removing tariffs on spirits and wines, which were previously 17% on wine and 20-35% on spirits [6] - The agreement may benefit European spirits producers, particularly for products like Cognac and Campari's Aperol, while the impact on wine producers remains uncertain due to competition from Argentina and Chile [7][9]