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Southern Company(SO) - 2025 Q4 - Earnings Call Transcript
2026-02-19 19:00
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Southern Company reported adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $4.30 for 2025, marking a 6% increase from the previous year and 9% average annual growth from 2023, achieving the top of its guidance range for the 11th consecutive year [4][3] - The company has maintained a strong dividend track record, with increases every year for the past 24 years, contributing to predictable and sustainable financial results [4][31] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Retail electricity sales increased by 1.7% in 2025 compared to 2024, significantly higher than the cumulative growth over the last decade [5][6] - Georgia Power experienced a 2.5% growth in electricity sales, with commercial sales up 17% year-over-year, driven by large load data center customers [6][7] - Industrial electricity sales grew by 1.4%, with gains in primary metals, lumber, paper, and transportation segments [8] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company anticipates retail electric sales to grow at least 3% across its electric operating companies in 2026, with an average annual growth projection of 10% from 2026 through 2030 [17] - The total large load pipeline has increased to over 75 GW, with 26 signed contracts representing 10 GW of fully contracted electric service agreements [18] Company Strategy and Development Direction - Southern Company is focused on sustainable growth through significant investments in energy infrastructure, with a capital investment forecast of $81 billion over the next five years, primarily at state-regulated utilities [24][25] - The company is exploring opportunities for new natural gas generation and enhancements to existing generation assets to meet future market demands [15][26] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the company's ability to capture growth opportunities, citing robust economic development activity and the addition of over 21,000 new jobs in its service territories [9][10] - The company is positioned to benefit from the increasing demand for reliable energy, with expectations of improved pricing for its natural gas fleet as contracts come up for renewal [13][14] Other Important Information - Southern Company has a disciplined approach to pricing large load contracts, ensuring that existing customers benefit from the growth while maintaining rate stability [22][23] - The company is committed to preserving its strong investment-grade credit ratings while addressing $9 billion of equity needs [27][30] Q&A Session Summary Question: Inquiry about the company's long-term growth outlook beyond 2028 - Management highlighted confidence in achieving growth targets based on the execution of projects and economic expansion in service territories [45][46] Question: Clarification on the 3 GW of near-term load and its impact on the current plan - Management confirmed that the 3 GW contracts are included in the current forecast and are expected to be signed imminently [55][56] Question: Discussion on the impact of affordability legislation on data center projects - Management acknowledged ongoing conversations about the impact of legislation but expressed confidence in the continued advancement of data center projects [81][83] Question: Inquiry about the potential for new gas expansion and its alignment with data center needs - Management stated that any new gas development would be approached with a disciplined risk profile, ensuring long-term contracts with creditworthy counterparties [97]