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Chipotle shares tank 15% after burrito chain slashes sales forecast, store visits drop
New York Postยท 2025-10-30 16:37
Core Insights - Chipotle's shares dropped 15% following a decline in store traffic and a reduced sales forecast, with net sales increasing by 7.5% to $3 billion in Q3, slightly below Wall Street's expectations of $3.03 billion [1][4] - CEO Scott Boatwright highlighted challenges in retaining customers due to ongoing macroeconomic pressures, including unemployment, student loan payments, and slower wage growth compared to persistent inflation, particularly affecting consumers aged 25 to 35 [1][6] Company Performance - Store visits decreased by 0.8% for the third consecutive quarter, leading to a revised annual same-store sales forecast indicating a low-single-digit decline, contrasting with the previous expectation of low- to mid-single-digit growth [2][9] - Net income for Chipotle was reported at $382.1 million, or 29 cents per share, a slight decrease from $387.4 million the previous year, with adjusted earnings also at 29 cents per share [3] Customer Demographics - Approximately 40% of Chipotle's customers earn less than $100,000 and have significantly reduced their restaurant dining due to economic concerns, impacting overall customer traffic [7] - The company noted that while same-store sales increased by 0.3% in Q3, this was primarily driven by a 1.1% rise in average check prices rather than an increase in customer traffic [9] Strategic Focus - Despite the challenges, the company plans to avoid discounting strategies, asserting that customers are comparing Chipotle with other fast-casual competitors, even though it maintains a lower average price point of $10 [10] - Chipotle aims to open 350 to 370 new restaurants in 2026, including 15 international locations, as part of its global expansion strategy, with partnerships in South Korea, the Middle East, and Latin America [12]