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数据中心基础设施_摩根大通数据中心基础设施日要点总结
摩根· 2025-11-24 01:46
Investment Rating - The report indicates a positive outlook for the data center infrastructure industry, suggesting that it is too early to fade the current infrastructure cycle, which has accelerated significantly recently [1][2]. Core Insights - The data center infrastructure build-out is progressing beyond expectations, with a large pipeline indicating demand far exceeding supply, and a projected annual run rate of over 12 GW pre-leased by 2025 [2][3]. - The industry is consolidating on cooling technologies, with major players enhancing their offerings in liquid cooling systems, which are becoming foundational for future data center operations [3][7]. - The report highlights that two-thirds of new capacity is driven by AI build-outs, emphasizing the critical role of AI in fueling incremental demand for data center infrastructure [7][8]. Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The current cycle is described as year 2 of a 7-year cycle, with expectations of over 6 GW being turned on this year, and significant future demand indicated by pre-leasing activity [2][4]. - The report notes that construction lead times will prevent a rapid overbuilding scenario, as physical constraints in construction remain significant [2][3]. Technology Trends - The industry is witnessing a shift towards higher voltage and DC architectures, which could disrupt traditional components and enhance efficiency [3][7]. - Liquid cooling is projected to grow from 10% to 20-30% of the value in thermal management systems, indicating a significant market opportunity for advanced cooling solutions [13][15]. Company Positioning - VRT is identified as a well-positioned industry leader, with strong pipelines and customer demand, while ETN is expected to gain market share following strategic acquisitions [4][7]. - JCI is focusing on technical differentiation and manufacturing capacity, with a robust backlog and pipeline indicating strong demand for their solutions [12][15]. Market Dynamics - The report emphasizes the importance of power availability as a natural constraint against overbuilding, with local government support playing a role in mitigating resistance to new data center projects [7][8]. - The competitive landscape is evolving, with new entrants and increased commoditization driven by standardization efforts, particularly from major players like NVIDIA [7][8].