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BAESY or NOC: Which Stock Stands Stronger in Today's Defense Boom?
ZACKSยท 2025-07-25 15:31
Industry Overview - Rising geopolitical tensions are driving up military budgets, leading to increased investor interest in defense companies like BAE Systems plc (BAESY) and Northrop Grumman (NOC) [1] - The demand for advanced defense technologies, equipment modernization, and national security priorities is expected to benefit these major players in the industry [1] BAE Systems (BAESY) - Recent achievements include contract wins for upgrading Gulfstream aircraft for the Italian Air Force and successful trials of the TRV-150 unmanned aerial system [4][5] - Financial stability is indicated by cash and cash equivalents of $4.59 billion at the end of 2024, with a long-term debt of $9.86 billion [6] - Challenges include global supply-chain disruptions affecting critical components and labor shortages impacting production timelines [7][8] - The 2025 EPS is expected to grow by 37.7%, with a projected revenue of $40.76 billion, reflecting a year-over-year growth of 63.2% [15] - BAESY shares surged 53.9% over the past year, outperforming NOC's 18.3% gain [10][18] Northrop Grumman (NOC) - Recent achievements include the successful test of a second-stage motor for Mars sample return missions and a Memorandum of Understanding with Romania's ROMARM for radar systems [9][11] - Financial stability is shown with cash and cash equivalents of $1.90 billion at the end of Q2 2025, alongside a long-term debt of $15.16 billion [12] - Challenges include labor retention issues and potential impacts from recent trade policy changes leading to higher production costs [13][14] - The 2025 EPS is projected to decline by 3.7%, with revenues expected to grow by 2.7% to $42.13 billion [15] - NOC trades at a lower forward P/E of 21.09X compared to BAESY's 23.23X, indicating a more attractive valuation despite slower growth [18] Comparative Analysis - BAE Systems appears to have a stronger investment opportunity due to rising earnings estimates and better stock performance over the past year [20] - Both companies hold a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), indicating a stable outlook in the defense sector [21]