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Should You Buy, Hold or Sell ATRO Stock Ahead of Q3 Earnings Release?
ZACKS· 2025-11-04 14:45
Core Insights - Astronics Corporation (ATRO) is expected to report third-quarter 2025 results on November 4, with revenue estimates of $213.3 million, indicating a 4.7% year-over-year growth, and earnings per share (EPS) estimated at 42 cents, reflecting a 20% increase from the previous year [1][6]. Financial Performance - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for the current quarter's EPS is 0.42, with a year-over-year growth estimate of 20% [2]. - ATRO has a strong earnings surprise history, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate in the last four quarters with an average surprise of 78.54% [2][3]. Revenue Drivers - Increased demand for cabin power, in-flight entertainment, and connectivity products from airlines is expected to boost sales in the Aerospace segment, which constitutes approximately 90% of total revenues [7][8]. - The military aircraft market is also anticipated to contribute positively due to heightened demand for lighting and safety products [7]. Cost and Margin Considerations - The Test Systems unit may experience a year-over-year sales decline due to revised cost estimates and delays in a long-term mass transit contract [8]. - Strong sales performance in the Aerospace segment, along with gross profit margin expansion and cost savings from restructuring, are expected to enhance overall earnings [9]. Stock Performance and Valuation - ATRO's shares have increased by 205.4% year-to-date, outperforming the Zacks Aerospace-Defense Equipment industry's growth of 33.4% and the S&P 500's gain of 17.9% [10]. - The forward 12-month price-to-sales (P/S) ratio for ATRO is 1.87X, significantly lower than the peer group average of 4.79X, indicating a more attractive valuation [12][14]. Industry Context - The global aerospace and defense industry continues to show strong growth prospects, although ATRO faces challenges such as supply-chain disruptions and rising costs of raw materials [15][16]. - The company maintains a strong position in the defense sector, providing resilience during market downturns, despite being heavily leveraged compared to peers [17]. Investment Outlook - ATRO is positioned for solid third-quarter performance, supported by projected growth in sales and earnings, a favorable Zacks Rank, and strong share price momentum, making it an attractive investment in the aerospace sector [18].