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Charter and COX to Merge in a Mega Deal: ETFs Set to Gain
ZACKSยท 2025-05-19 16:00
Core Viewpoint - The merger between Charter Communications and Cox Communications, valued at $34.5 billion including debt, is set to create a significant player in the U.S. cable and broadband industry, enhancing competition against Comcast [1][2]. Deal Overview - Charter will pay $21.9 billion in equity and assume approximately $12.6 billion of Cox's debt, with Cox receiving $4 billion in cash, $6 billion in convertible preferred units, and about 33.6 million common units, representing roughly 23% ownership in the combined entity [3]. - The merged entity will operate under the Cox Communications name, while the consumer-facing brand will remain Spectrum, with headquarters in Stamford, CT [4]. Market Impact - The merger will expand Charter's footprint to approximately 46 states, reaching nearly 70 million homes and businesses, with a combined customer base of 38 million [5]. - The deal is expected to generate approximately $500 million in annualized cost synergies within three years of closing [6]. Analyst Sentiment - Following the merger announcement, analysts have turned bullish on Charter, with Oppenheimer upgrading the stock to Outperform and setting a price target of $500, citing expectations for significant share buybacks and increased free cash flow by 2027 [8]. - Pivotal Research raised its price target on Charter to $600 from $540, viewing the acquisition as attractive and likely to accelerate growth, with no major regulatory hurdles anticipated [9]. ETFs to Consider - Key communication services ETFs that may benefit from the merger include: - Vanguard Communication Services ETF (VOX), with AUM of $4.5 billion and a Zacks ETF Rank 3 [10][11]. - Communication Services Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLC), with $21.5 billion in assets and a Zacks ETF Rank 1 [12]. - iShares U.S. Telecommunications ETF (IYZ), with AUM of $399.9 million and a Zacks ETF Rank 3 [13]. - Fidelity MSCI Communication Services Index ETF (FCOM), with $1.5 billion in assets and a Zacks ETF Rank 3 [14].