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Should You Continue to Hold EXAS Stock in Your Portfolio?
ZACKS· 2025-09-10 15:05
Core Insights - Exact Sciences Corporation (EXAS) is positioned for growth due to the momentum in its Cologuard and Oncotype DX tests, with ongoing investments in innovative cancer diagnostic solutions [1][4][9] - The company has a market capitalization of $10.20 billion and an estimated long-term earnings growth rate of 30.1%, outperforming the industry average of 21% [3] - Exact Sciences aims for 15% compounded revenue growth and over 20% adjusted EBITDA margins, with expected annual savings of more than $150 million by 2026 [5][9] Growth Drivers - Cologuard's growth is supported by rescreens, care gap programs, and improved commercial execution, with a focus on making it the standard of care [4] - Oncotype DX is experiencing strong international uptake, with a significant opportunity for growth as 70% of eligible patients outside the U.S. are not currently tested [4] - The launch of new products, such as Oncodetect and Cologuard Plus, enhances the company's offerings and addresses market needs [6][7][10] Operational Challenges - The company faces macroeconomic pressures, including high-interest rates and limited access to capital markets, which could impact profitability [13] - A competitive landscape in the colorectal cancer screening market poses risks, with competitors having greater resources and capabilities [14] Financial Performance - In the past year, EXAS stock has declined by 13.6%, while the S&P 500 has risen by 18.9% [2] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Exact Sciences' 2025 earnings has increased by 13.8% to 33 cents, with revenues projected to reach $3.16 billion, reflecting a 14.4% increase from 2023 [15]
Should You Continue to Hold EXAS Sciences Stock in Your Portfolio?
ZACKS· 2025-06-05 13:55
Core Insights - Exact Sciences Corporation (EXAS) is focused on promoting its flagship product, Cologuard, as the standard of care in cancer screening, aiming to transform cancer care through innovative solutions [2][4] - The company has shown a strong stock performance with a 23.5% increase over the past year, outperforming the industry and S&P 500 [3] - Despite a solid market capitalization of $10.34 billion and a long-term earnings growth rate of 29.3%, EXAS faces challenges related to solvency and rising operational costs due to macroeconomic pressures [3][14] Company Performance - Cologuard has been utilized in 16 million tests over the past decade, with a 14% increase in screening revenues in Q1 2025, driven by growth in rescreens and new provider adoption [4][9] - The international adoption of Oncotype DX contributed to a 4% year-over-year growth in Precision Oncology revenues, indicating significant growth potential in markets outside the U.S. [5] - The company is enhancing customer experience by building a robust digital infrastructure that empowers patients and simplifies the ordering process for physicians [6] Strategic Initiatives - The launch of Cologuard Plus, which is expected to reduce unnecessary follow-up colonoscopies by up to 40%, marks a significant advancement in non-invasive CRC screening [11] - The Oncodetect MRD test is anticipated to receive Medicare reimbursement in Q2 2025, further expanding EXAS's diagnostic offerings [12] - The company has identified over 100 opportunities with payers and health systems to address care gaps through organized screening programs [10] Financial Overview - As of Q1 2025, EXAS reported cash and cash equivalents of $786 million, but it also carries a long-term debt of $2.32 billion, raising concerns about its financial leverage [13] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for EXAS's loss in 2025 has improved from 61 cents to 14 cents, with projected revenues of $3.10 billion, reflecting a 12.4% year-over-year increase [15]