We came across a bullish thesis on Nasdaq, Inc. on The Diversified Fins Analyst’s Substack. In this article, we will summarize the bulls’ thesis on NDAQ. Nasdaq, Inc.'s share was trading at $89.36 as of December 1st. NDAQ’s trailing and forward P/E were 31.91 and 24.04 respectively according to Yahoo Finance. Best Foreign Stocks To Buy Now Nasdaq, Inc. (NDAQ) reported strong 3Q25 results, with total net revenue of $1,315 million, up 1% sequentially and 11% year-over-year, driven primarily by Capital Acce ...

Financial Highlights - Nasdaq's net revenue reached $1315 million, a 15% year-over-year increase, or 11% on an adjusted basis[17] - Solutions revenue surpassed $1 billion, marking a 15% year-over-year increase, or 10% on an adjusted basis, reaching $1003 million[16, 17] - Non-GAAP operating income increased by 15% year-over-year to $732 million, with a non-GAAP operating margin of 56%, up 2 percentage points[17] - Non-GAAP diluted EPS grew by 19% year-over-year to $088[17] - Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) increased by 10% year-over-year to $3007 million, with annualized SaaS revenues growing by 12% to $1132 million[17] Segment Performance - Capital Access Platforms revenue totaled $546 million, reflecting an 8% adjusted year-over-year increase, driven by Data and Listing Services ($204 million, +6%), Index ($206 million, +13%), and Workflow and Insights ($136 million, +5%)[58] - Financial Technology revenue reached $457 million, a 13% adjusted year-over-year increase, with Financial Crime Management Technology growing by 22% to $84 million, Regulatory Technology by 9% to $109 million, and Capital Markets Technology by 12% to $264 million[67] - Market Services net revenue increased by 13% year-over-year to $303 million, driven by U S equity derivatives ($124 million, +16%) and U S cash equities ($99 million, +21%)[75] Key Metrics and Achievements - Index Exchange Traded Products (ETP) Assets Under Management (AUM) increased by $229 billion year-over-year to $829 billion[21] - Net inflows into Index ETP AUM reached a record $91 billion over the trailing twelve months, including $17 billion in 3Q25[13] - Nasdaq maintained the number one market share in multi-listed U S options at 28%[28]

Core Insights - Nasdaq, Inc. (NDAQ) achieved a 52-week high of $85.72, closing at $85.61, with a 44.3% increase over the past year, outperforming the Finance sector and the Zacks S&P 500 composite but underperforming its industry [1][7]. Performance Comparison - NDAQ outperformed peers such as Cboe Global Markets, Intercontinental Exchange, and CME Group, which gained 29.7%, 33.4%, and 38.1% respectively in the past year [2]. - The company has a market capitalization of $49.15 billion, with an average trading volume of 3.6 million shares over the last three months [2]. Technical Analysis - Nasdaq shares are trading above the 50-day and 200-day simple moving averages of $77.41 and $77.04, indicating strong upward momentum [5]. Revenue and Growth Projections - For 2025, NDAQ anticipates Capital Access Platforms revenue growth between 5% to 8% and aims for 40-50% of total revenues to come from SaaS [7][19]. - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2025 earnings per share indicates a 13.1% year-over-year increase, with revenues expected to reach $5.05 billion, reflecting an 8.5% improvement [9]. Financial Metrics - Nasdaq's return on equity over the trailing 12 months was 15.38%, surpassing the industry average of 13.93% [15]. - The return on invested capital (ROIC) was 6.8%, better than the industry average of 5.2% [16]. Strategic Focus - The company's growth strategy emphasizes revenue generation from high-growth Market Technology and Investment Intelligence segments, along with expansion in the Anti-Financial Crime sector [17]. - Nasdaq is also focusing on strong growth from its index and analytics businesses, with moderate growth expected in exchange data products [18]. Valuation - Nasdaq shares are trading at a forward price-to-book value of 25.52X, lower than the industry average of 26.18X, indicating they are relatively affordable [8]. Earnings Surprise History - Nasdaq has consistently surpassed earnings estimates in the last four quarters, with an average surprise of 4.75% [11]. Analyst Outlook - The average price target from 18 analysts for NDAQ is $85.94 per share, suggesting a potential upside of 2.31% from the last closing price [12]. Dividend Strategy - Nasdaq has a strong dividend history, with plans to achieve a payout ratio of 35-38% by 2027 [24].

Financial Highlights - Nasdaq's net revenue reached $1.237 billion, an increase of 11% year-over-year[18] - Solutions revenue grew to $947 million, representing a 9% increase year-over-year[18] - Operating income increased by 15% year-over-year to $682 million[18] - Diluted EPS increased by 24% year-over-year to $0.79[18] - Annualized Recurring Revenue (ARR) increased by 8% year-over-year to $2.831 billion[18] - Annualized SaaS revenue increased by 14% year-over-year to $1.061 billion[18] Segment Performance - Capital Access Platforms revenue increased by 11% adjusted year-over-year, with Index revenue up by 26% and Data & Listing revenue up by 4%[40] - Financial Technology revenue increased by 10% adjusted year-over-year, driven by a 21% increase in Financial Crime Management Technology revenue[40] - Market Services revenue increased by 19% adjusted year-over-year, driven by record volumes in U.S cash equities and derivatives[40] Operational Highlights - Index average ETP AUM increased year-over-year to $662 billion[24] - Nasdaq listed 45 operating companies, raising nearly $5 billion in proceeds[13]