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Prediction: Buying Hexcel Today Could Set You Up for Life
The Motley Foolยท 2025-07-30 07:19
Core Viewpoint - Hexcel (HXL) is currently facing challenges due to low aftermarket demand for its carbon fiber composites, particularly impacted by reduced airplane production expectations from key customers Airbus and Boeing. However, the long-term growth prospects remain strong, and recent positive signs in the aerospace supply chain suggest potential recovery for the company [2][3][5][16]. Company Performance - Hexcel has experienced a difficult period, with Wall Street projecting minimal sales growth for the current year and a decline in earnings per share from $2.03 in 2024 to $1.87 in 2025 due to production shortfalls from major customers [5]. - Approximately 40% of Hexcel's 2024 sales are tied to Airbus, while 15% are linked to Boeing, making the company vulnerable to their production fluctuations [3]. Market Conditions - The commercial aerospace supply chain is showing signs of improvement, with GE Aerospace reporting a 38% increase in LEAP engine deliveries in Q2, and RTX's Pratt & Whitney expected to ramp up production in the second half of the year [9][10]. - Airbus has lowered its production expectations for the A350, which has a shipset value of $4.5 million to $5 million, indicating challenges in the market [4]. Long-term Growth Prospects - Despite current challenges, Hexcel's growth potential is highlighted by the expected ramp-up in aircraft production and deliveries from Airbus and Boeing, which are currently behind schedule [12][15]. - The increasing incorporation of composites in new aircraft generations presents additional opportunities for Hexcel, as aircraft deliveries are anticipated to rise, positively impacting sales and margins [15][16].