Core Viewpoint - Medtronic plc reported fiscal third-quarter 2026 results that exceeded analyst expectations, although shares experienced a decline of over 2% intra-day following the release [1] Financial Performance - The company generated revenue of $9.0 billion, reflecting an 8.7% increase on a reported basis and 6.0% organic growth year over year, surpassing the consensus estimate of $8.89 billion [2] - Adjusted earnings per share were reported at $1.36, slightly above expectations of $1.34 [2] - The quarter marked the strongest enterprise revenue growth for the company in 10 quarters [2] Segment Performance - The Cardiovascular Portfolio led the performance with revenue climbing 13.8% as reported and 10.6% organically to $3.46 billion, with Cardiac Ablation Solutions showing particularly strong results, including an 80% increase in global revenue and a 137% surge in U.S. revenue [3] - Other segments also reported gains: the Neuroscience Portfolio increased 4.1% to $2.56 billion, the Medical Surgical Portfolio rose 4.9% to $2.17 billion, and the Diabetes segment grew 14.8% to $796 million [4] Outlook - Medtronic reaffirmed its fiscal 2026 outlook, maintaining expectations for approximately 5.5% organic revenue growth and adjusted EPS between $5.62 and $5.66, which includes a potential $185 million headwind from tariffs [4]

Core Viewpoint - Medtronic (MDT) is expected to report its third-quarter fiscal 2026 results on February 17, with earnings per share (EPS) anticipated at $1.33, reflecting a 4.3% decrease year-over-year, while revenues are projected to reach $8.90 billion, indicating a 7.3% growth from the previous year [1][2]. Group 1: Q3 Estimates and Performance - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Medtronic's third-quarter revenues is $8.90 billion, suggesting a 7.3% increase from the same quarter last year [2]. - The earnings estimate for the third quarter has been revised down by 1 cent to $1.33 per share over the past 60 days [3]. - Medtronic has consistently beaten earnings estimates in the last four quarters, with an average beat of 2.75% [1]. Group 2: Segment Performance Expectations - The Cardiovascular segment is projected to grow by 10.8% year-over-year, driven by the Cardiac Ablation Solutions business and strong performance from the Affera mapping system and Sphere-9 catheter [6][4]. - The Neuroscience segment is expected to see a revenue increase of 5.2% year-over-year, supported by the spine AiBLE ecosystem and growth in Core Spine and Neurosurgery [9][7]. - The Diabetes unit is anticipated to deliver an 11.5% revenue growth, bolstered by new product launches and pent-up demand [15][12]. Group 3: Challenges and Innovations - The Medical Surgical segment has faced challenges due to market pressures from bariatric surgery and a shift towards robotic surgery, but the FDA clearance for the Hugo robotic-assisted surgery system is a positive development [10]. - The Endoscopy business is expected to perform well, driven by growth in esophageal products and the AI-powered GI Genius solution [11]. - Medtronic's Diabetes business is in a strong innovation cycle, with the MiniMed 780G system receiving multiple approvals and a broad U.S. commercial launch [13]. Group 4: Strategic Developments - Medtronic has filed a registration statement for a proposed initial public offering (IPO) as part of a planned separation, allowing the company to focus on high-margin growth markets [14].

Core Insights - Medtronic plc (MDT) has a market capitalization of approximately $132 billion and operates in various medical technology sectors, including cardiovascular, neuroscience, medical-surgical, and diabetes care, providing device-based therapies globally [1] Stock Performance - Over the past 52 weeks, MDT shares have increased by 13.5%, underperforming the S&P 500 Index, which gained 15.2%. However, on a year-to-date basis, MDT has outperformed the S&P 500, returning 7.3% compared to the index's 1.6% rise [2] - MDT shares have also outperformed the State Street Health Care Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLV), which returned 6.1% over the same period [3] Financial Performance - On November 18, 2025, MDT reported strong Q2 2026 results, with adjusted EPS of $1.36 and revenue of $8.96 billion, surpassing forecasts. The company experienced a 6.6% revenue growth, with a notable 71% growth in Cardiac Ablation Solutions, marking the strongest cardiovascular revenue growth in over a decade, excluding pandemic effects [5] - For the fiscal year ending in April 2026, analysts project MDT's adjusted EPS to grow by 2.7% year-over-year to $5.64. The company has consistently exceeded consensus estimates in the last four quarters [6] Analyst Ratings and Price Targets - Among 27 analysts covering MDT, the consensus rating is a "Moderate Buy," consisting of 11 "Strong Buy" ratings, one "Moderate Buy," and 15 "Holds" [6] - Evercore ISI raised its price target for MDT to $115 while maintaining an "Outperform" rating. The mean price target of $110.50 indicates a 7.5% premium to current price levels, while the highest price target of $125 suggests a potential upside of 21.6% [8]

Core Insights - Medtronic has regained momentum, with its stock price expected to rise, reflecting a bottoming process over several years [2][3] - The stock is projected to rally over the coming quarters and years, supported by modest growth, healthy margins, cash flow, and capital returns [3] - Analysts indicate accumulation trends, with strong Q2 results and guidance affirming strength and capital returns for fiscal year 2026 and beyond [3] Financial Performance - Medtronic's stock price could advance by 20% to 30%, driven by a favorable growth outlook and mid-single-digit growth in fiscal year 2026 [4][5] - The company reported $8.96 billion in net revenue for Q2, marking a 6.6% year-over-year increase, which outpaced consensus expectations [8] - Organic growth was up 5.5%, with the Cardiovascular portfolio growing by 10.8%, and diabetic sales increasing by 10.3% year-over-year [9] Capital Returns - Capital returns are significant, with a reliable dividend yield of 2.95% and a payout ratio of approximately 50%, ensuring sustainability [6] - Medtronic is recognized as a Dividend Aristocrat, having increased dividends for over 40 consecutive years, alongside earnings growth and a healthy balance sheet [7] - Share buybacks are ongoing, expected to continue reducing the share count incrementally each quarter [7]