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AEO vs. JWN: Which Fashion Apparel Stock is the Better Buy Now?
ZACKS· 2025-05-19 17:21
Core Insights - American Eagle Outfitters (AEO) and Nordstrom (JWN) are competing in the Retail – Apparel and Shoes sector, each adapting to changing consumer preferences and economic challenges with distinct strategies [1][4] - Nordstrom targets an affluent demographic through a dual-channel model, combining full-line department stores with Nordstrom Rack, and emphasizes a high-touch shopping experience [2] - AEO focuses on a younger, value-conscious audience with its brands American Eagle and Aerie, leveraging trends in comfort and digital engagement [3] Nordstrom's Strategy and Performance - Nordstrom is pursuing three main goals: growing the Nordstrom brand, improving operations, and strengthening Nordstrom Rack, with a focus on inventory management and faster product delivery [5] - The company has seen significant online sales contributions, utilizing new technologies for inventory management and enhancing customer engagement [6] - Improvements in the supply chain have led to a 40% reduction in return processing time, increasing efficiency and sales potential [7] American Eagle's Strategy and Performance - AEO is implementing its Powering Profitable Growth Plan, focusing on digital innovation, supply chain automation, and customer experience [8] - The company reported strong operating income growth in Q4 of fiscal 2024, driven by effective cost controls and improved operating margins [9] - Aerie is a key growth driver for AEO, focusing on innovation and expanding customer reach in the body-positive market [10] Financial Outlook and Comparisons - AEO anticipates mid-single-digit revenue declines for Q1 of fiscal 2025, with projected operating income of $20-$25 million, impacted by a stronger U.S. dollar [12] - For fiscal 2025, AEO expects low-single-digit revenue dips and a gross margin decline, with operating income projected at $360-$375 million [13] - In contrast, Nordstrom's fiscal 2025 sales and EPS estimates imply year-over-year growth of 2.2% and 1.8%, respectively [14] Valuation and Stock Performance - Nordstrom trades at a forward P/E ratio of 10.89X, below the industry average, indicating reasonable valuation [15] - AEO has a lower P/E ratio of 9.68, positioning it as a more value-oriented option [15] - Over the past year, Nordstrom has gained 16.5%, while AEO has declined by 47.9%, highlighting Nordstrom's stronger stock performance [16] Conclusion - Nordstrom is positioned as a stronger long-term investment due to consistent strategic execution and brand equity, expanding its digital capabilities [18] - AEO shows growth potential but faces volatility and uncertainty, particularly with its fiscal 2025 outlook [19] - For investors seeking stability and long-term value, Nordstrom is the preferred choice, currently rated as a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy) [20]