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VST vs. SO: Which Utility Stock Looks More Attractive for Now?
ZACKSยท 2025-11-25 17:51
Industry Overview - The Zacks Utility - Electric Power industry presents a strong long-term investment case due to its regulated structure, which ensures predictable cash flows and stable returns [1] - Utilities are focusing on domestic growth through infrastructure upgrades, grid modernization, and reliability improvements, making the sector appealing for income-oriented and defensive investors [1] Transition to Cleaner Energy - The utility industry is undergoing a significant transition towards cleaner energy sources, with utilities reducing emissions by retiring coal facilities and investing in renewable generation [2] - Nuclear power is regaining importance as a reliable, carbon-free baseload resource that complements intermittent renewables [2] Company Comparisons - Vistra Corp. (VST) and The Southern Company (SO) are key players in the U.S. electric utility sector, both actively investing in renewable energy [2] - Vistra's acquisition of Energy Harbor in 2023 has expanded its nuclear portfolio and led to the establishment of Vistra Vision, focusing on zero-carbon generation [3] - The Southern Company maintains steady earnings and consistent dividend growth through its regulated utility businesses and investments in cleaner power sources [4] Earnings Growth Projections - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Vistra's earnings per share in 2025 and 2026 has increased by 1.18% and 0.71%, respectively, with long-term growth projected at 11.67% [6] - The Southern Company's earnings per share estimates for 2025 and 2026 have remained unchanged, with long-term growth projected at 7.23% [8] Return on Equity - Vistra's return on equity (ROE) is 64.04%, significantly higher than The Southern Company's 12.52% and the industry's average of 9.64% [9] Sales Estimates - Vistra's sales estimates for 2025 and 2026 reflect year-over-year growth of 18.01% and 29.81%, while The Southern Company's estimates show growth of 8.73% and 4.87%, respectively [12] Debt to Capital - Vistra's debt-to-capital ratio is 75.38%, compared to The Southern Company's 65.34%, with both companies utilizing higher debt levels to fund operations [14] Valuation - Vistra is trading at a premium with a Price/Earnings Forward 12-month ratio of 20.93X, while The Southern Company is at 19.55X, compared to the industry's 15.27X [15] Price Performance - Over the past six months, Vistra's shares have increased by 10.7%, while The Southern Company's shares have declined by 0.6% [16] Conclusion - Both Vistra and The Southern Company are focused on enhancing their infrastructure and increasing clean electricity generation assets, with Vistra currently having a slight advantage due to stronger sales and earnings estimates, better ROE, and healthier price movement [19]