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4 Consumer Product Stocks Showing Resilience Amid Market Headwinds
ZACKS· 2025-09-11 16:46
Industry Overview - The Zacks Consumer Products – Staples industry is facing challenges due to rising living costs, which are straining household budgets and leading to cautious consumer spending, thereby impacting sales across the industry [1][5] - Companies are also dealing with increased raw material costs and elevated selling, general and administrative (SG&A) expenses, which are compressing profit margins [1][4] Demand and Strategic Responses - Despite the challenges, demand for essential consumer products remains favorable, with industry leaders like Procter & Gamble, Church & Dwight, Ollie's Bargain Outlet, and Grocery Outlet leveraging innovation, cost efficiency, and digital transformation to sustain growth [2][4] - Companies are pursuing restructuring initiatives and cost-cutting measures to enhance operational efficiency and maintain profitability in a demanding environment [4][7] Economic and Market Trends - The industry is experiencing heightened spending volatility due to an uncertain macroeconomic backdrop, with rising living costs and declining personal savings affecting consumer behavior, particularly among lower-income households [5] - Currency fluctuations pose a risk for many companies in the industry, particularly due to their exposure to international markets and the potential impact of a stronger U.S. dollar [6] Performance Metrics - The Zacks Consumer Products – Staples industry currently holds a Zacks Industry Rank of 163, placing it in the bottom 33% of over 245 Zacks industries, indicating dim near-term prospects [8][10] - Over the past six months, the industry has lost 4.5%, underperforming the broader Zacks Consumer Staples sector, which declined by 0.5%, while the S&P 500 Index advanced by 17.5% [12] Valuation Insights - The industry is trading at a forward 12-month price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 20.07X, compared to the S&P 500's 23.02X and the sector's 16.96X, reflecting a historical range of 18.96X to 23.38X over the past five years [15] Company Highlights - **Ollie's Bargain Outlet**: This company operates on a "buy cheap, sell cheap" model and has seen a 26.8% increase in shares over the past six months, with a consensus EPS estimate of $3.79 indicating a 15.6% year-over-year growth [18][19] - **Grocery Outlet**: Focused on improving store performance and enhancing site selection, the company has experienced a 43.2% share price increase in the past six months, with a current EPS estimate of 78 cents, reflecting a 1.3% growth from the previous year [21][22] - **Procter & Gamble**: The company has a current EPS estimate of $6.99, suggesting a 2.3% growth year-over-year, although shares have declined by 6.5% in the past six months [24] - **Church & Dwight**: With a focus on innovation and digital expansion, the company has a current EPS estimate of $3.47, indicating a 0.9% growth from the previous year, while shares have declined by 14.7% in the past six months [29]