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AAR Corp. vs. TAT Technologies: Which Stock to Buy in 2026?
ZACKS· 2026-02-26 15:46
Industry Overview - The global aerospace services market is projected to expand in 2026, driven by strong air travel demand, higher aircraft utilization, and growth in the Maintenance, Repair and Overhaul (MRO) market [1][17] - Airlines, cargo operators, and defense agencies are focused on fleet readiness and operational efficiency, creating opportunities for service providers like TAT Technologies and AAR Corp [1] Company Profiles AAR Corp (AIR) - AIR has experienced strong quarterly results, with a reported revenue growth of 16% and a 31% increase in adjusted net earnings year-over-year in January 2026 [3] - The company is expanding its market presence through facility expansions, including an upgraded Airframe MRO facility in Oklahoma City to meet rising demand [4] - AIR's Trax business is gaining momentum, with a multi-year agreement with Air Atlanta Icelandic to implement eMobility and cloud hosting solutions, enhancing maintenance processes and operational efficiency [5] TAT Technologies (TATT) - TATT has strengthened its order book with a new three-year agreement worth approximately $14 million for landing gear MRO services, with potential total value reaching $19 million [6][7] - The work will be conducted at TATT's Greensboro, North Carolina facility, aligning with the expected rise in maintenance activity for the Embraer E 170 and E 175 fleet [7] Financial Performance - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for AIR's fiscal 2026 sales indicates a year-over-year improvement of 15.2%, with earnings per share expected to improve by 24% [8] - TATT's 2026 sales are estimated to surge by 17.8%, with earnings per share projected to improve by 30.2% [10] Stock Performance - Over the past six months, AIR shares have gained 54.4%, outperforming TATT's growth of 48.3% [11] - AIR is trading at a trailing 12-month Price/Book ratio of 2.97X, which is more attractive compared to TATT's ratio of 4.04X [12] Earnings Surprise History - AIR has delivered an average earnings surprise of 11.26% over the last four quarters, while TATT has had an average negative earnings surprise of 2.03% [13] Conclusion - Both companies are expected to benefit from rising global air traffic and steady demand for MRO services in 2026, but AAR shows a stronger overall position with consistent earnings surprises and upward estimate revisions [18][19] - Given AIR's diversified business model and better earnings track record, it appears to be the more attractive investment choice in the aerospace services sector for 2026 [19]