Conversion API (CAPI)
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Reddit Surges 97% in the Past 6 Months: Is the Stock Worth Buying?
ZACKS· 2025-12-04 17:41
Core Insights - Reddit (RDDT) shares have surged 96.7% over the past six months, significantly outperforming the broader Zacks Computer & Technology sector, which rose 27.4% [1]. Group 1: Performance Comparison - Reddit's shares have outperformed peers such as Pinterest (PINS), Meta Platforms (META), and Snap (SNAP), with Pinterest shares dropping 18.8% and both Meta and Snap losing 6.6% in the same period [2]. Group 2: User Engagement and Revenue Growth - The company's strong performance is attributed to increased user engagement, with daily active users reaching 116 million and weekly active users at 444 million, both up 20% year over year [6]. - Average Revenue Per User (ARPU) increased by 41% year over year to $5.04, indicating effective monetization strategies [3]. - Advertising revenues surged 74% year over year to $549 million, driven by a growing active advertiser count, which expanded by over 75% year over year [11]. Group 3: AI and Advertising Tools - Reddit is leveraging AI-powered tools to enhance user engagement and search functionality, including the introduction of Reddit Answers, which has seen over 75 million weekly searches [7][8]. - The company has introduced new advertising tools such as Reddit Pixel, Conversion API (CAPI), and Dynamic Product Ads (DPA) to support campaign performance and attract more advertisers [10]. Group 4: Future Earnings Estimates - For Q4 2025, Reddit expects revenues between $655 million and $665 million, with a Zacks Consensus Estimate of $668.52 million, reflecting a year-over-year growth of 56.30% [12]. - The consensus estimate for earnings per share for Q4 is 97 cents, indicating a year-over-year growth of 169.44% [13]. - For the full year 2025, the revenue estimate is $2.12 billion, showing a year-over-year growth of 62.78% [13]. Group 5: Valuation and Investment Opportunity - Reddit's stock is currently trading at a premium, with a forward Price/Sales ratio of 14.44, higher than its median of 14.39 and the sector's average of 6.72 [14]. - The company holds a Zacks Rank 1 (Strong Buy) and a Growth Score of A, indicating a strong investment opportunity [17].
Reddit Expands Commerce Ad Stack: Is the Growth Thesis Accelerating?
ZACKS· 2025-06-24 15:26
Core Insights - Reddit is transitioning from community-led discovery to full-funnel performance marketing, resulting in a 61% year-over-year increase in advertising revenue to $358.6 million in Q1 2025, with performance campaigns making up 60% of total ad spend [1][10] Group 1: Advertising Strategy and Tools - Reddit is focusing on attracting conversion-oriented advertisers through innovative solutions like Dynamic Product Ads (DPAs), which utilize real-time catalog feeds and machine learning to enhance product visibility and return on ad spend [2] - New tools such as the Meta campaign import feature and expanded Smartly.io integration have been introduced to simplify campaign setup and management, enabling brands to scale their performance efforts more efficiently [3] - Over 90% of managed advertisers utilized Reddit's Pixel for conversion tracking in Q1, and revenue linked to Conversion API (CAPI) has more than tripled year-over-year, indicating strong adoption of Reddit's performance tools [4] Group 2: Competitive Landscape - Reddit faces increasing competition from Snap and Alphabet, both of which are enhancing their performance advertising capabilities and audience targeting tools [5] - Snap is expanding its commerce features with Dynamic Ads and improved conversion APIs, targeting mobile-first, Gen Z-focused verticals that overlap with Reddit's performance campaigns [6] - Alphabet is strengthening its position through Google Ads and YouTube shopping integrations, leveraging advanced AI and machine learning to optimize advertising for intent and conversion, posing a significant challenge to Reddit [7] Group 3: Financial Performance and Valuation - Reddit's shares have declined 17.9% year-to-date, contrasting with the broader Zacks Computer & Technology sector and Internet Software industry, which have increased by 0.9% and 11.2%, respectively [8] - Reddit's stock is trading at a forward 12-month Price/Sales ratio of 11.78X, significantly higher than the industry's 5.62X, indicating a premium valuation [12] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Q2 2025 earnings is 19 cents per share, an improvement from a loss of 6 cents per share in the previous year, while the fiscal 2025 earnings estimate is $1.21 per share, up from a loss of $3.33 per share in fiscal 2024 [15]