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Consumer Beauty Sales Down 8%: Can Coty Revive Color Cosmetics?
ZACKSยท 2025-10-14 16:01
Core Insights - Coty Inc.'s Consumer Beauty segment experienced a significant downturn in fiscal 2025, with an 8% year-over-year sales decline and a $127 million operating loss, contrasting with a profit from the previous year [1][9] - The adjusted EBITDA margin decreased by 160 basis points to 9.5%, attributed to lower sell-through rates and increased promotional activities [1] Sales Performance - In the fiscal fourth quarter, Consumer Beauty revenues fell by 12%, driven by a high-single-digit decline in sell-out, despite slight overall market growth [2] - The decline was primarily in color cosmetics and body care, while mass fragrances and skincare showed resilience [2] Strategic Focus - Coty is shifting its strategy to prioritize profitability over scale, aiming to enhance the economics of its mass cosmetics platform through tighter spending and innovation in higher-margin subcategories [3] - Recent product launches, such as CoverGirl Yummy Blur lipstick and Rimmel TruBlend Skin Enhancer Balms, have received positive consumer feedback and are intended to leverage momentum in lip and multi-tasking beauty formats [3] Market Trends - The company faces challenges in rekindling consumer interest in makeup as trends shift towards fragrances and simpler beauty routines [4] - The success of Coty's next phase will depend on effective innovation and execution to strengthen the color cosmetics segment within its Consumer Beauty business [4] Stock Performance - Coty shares have increased by 4.1% over the past month, outperforming the broader Consumer Staples sector, which declined by 2.6% [5] - The stock has also surpassed the industry and S&P 500 index growth of 3.6% and 0.4%, respectively, during the same period [5] Valuation Metrics - Coty currently trades at a forward 12-month P/E ratio of 9.74, significantly lower than the industry average of 28.67 and the sector average of 16.33, indicating a modest discount relative to peers [10] Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Coty's earnings per share has been revised downward, with current estimates at 43 cents for the current fiscal year and 47 cents for the next fiscal year [13]