Core Viewpoint - The article suggests considering the purchase of a put option on December silver futures due to indications that prices may be nearing a short-term peak, despite recent record highs driven by safe-haven demand [1][2]. Price Trends - December silver futures prices have reached record highs this week, but historical data indicates that prices above $50 do not remain elevated for long [2]. - The Relative Strength Index (RSI) shows bearish divergence, indicating that while silver prices have reached new highs, the RSI is trending downward from its late-September peak [2]. Fundamental Drivers - Safe-haven demand has been a significant factor in driving up silver prices, influenced by the U.S. government shutdown and U.S.-China trade tensions [3]. - Historical context suggests that the U.S. government will reopen, and recent easing of tensions in the Middle East may also impact silver prices [3]. - Although U.S.-China trade tensions are currently high, there is an expectation that both nations will seek to reduce rhetoric to avoid a damaging trade war [3]. Trading Strategy - The article recommends buying a well-out-of-the-money put option on December silver futures, as current high volatility allows for potentially profitable trades even with less expensive options [4]. - The downside price objective for this strategy is set at $40.00 or below, with options expiring in late November [4].

Group 1 - The fundamentals for silver remain strong due to global geopolitical tensions driving safe-haven demand, easier central bank monetary policies, and increased hoarding of rare-earth minerals by major industrialized countries [1] - Recent price action in December silver futures indicates a bearish "key reversal" pattern, suggesting a potential near-term market top for silver [2] - Historical price patterns suggest that while current fundamentals are bullish, the major bull market run in silver may be nearing its end, as markets often price in expected future events ahead of time [6] Group 2 - Silver reached a high of $49.965 this week, surpassing the previous high of $49.52 set in 2011, marking a significant milestone in its price history [4] - Historical context shows that silver prices have experienced significant volatility, with past peaks followed by sharp declines, indicating potential risks for current price levels [5]