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Kinsale Capital Trades Below 50-Day SMA: How to Play the Stock?
ZACKSยท 2025-09-26 18:00
Core Viewpoint - Kinsale Capital Group, Inc. (KNSL) is experiencing a short-term bearish trend as it trades below its 50-day simple moving average (SMA), indicating potential challenges ahead for the stock price [1] Price Performance - Kinsale Capital shares have declined by 10.7% year-to-date, underperforming the Finance sector's growth of 14.1% and the Zacks S&P 500 Composite's growth of 13.8% [2] - The company has a market capitalization of $9.7 billion, with an average trading volume of 0.2 million shares over the last three months [2] Valuation Metrics - Kinsale Capital's price-to-book value stands at 5.62X, significantly higher than the industry average of 1.55X, indicating that its shares are trading at a premium [5] Growth Projections - The Zacks Consensus Estimate projects a 14.1% year-over-year increase in Kinsale Capital's earnings per share for 2025, with revenues expected to reach $1.8 billion, reflecting a 13.4% increase [9] - Long-term earnings growth is estimated at 14.9%, surpassing the industry average of 7% [10] Analyst Sentiment - Recent analyst estimates for Kinsale Capital's earnings for 2025 and 2026 have increased by 0.1% and 0.3%, respectively, over the past 30 days [11] Return on Capital - Kinsale Capital's return on equity (ROE) for the trailing 12 months is 25.9%, significantly higher than the industry's 7.7%, indicating effective use of shareholders' funds [15] - The return on invested capital is 22.5%, compared to the industry average of 5.9%, showcasing the company's efficiency in generating income [15] Operational Strengths - Kinsale Capital has strengthened its position in the U.S. excess and surplus (E&S) market through consistent premium growth, disciplined underwriting, and a strong broker network [16][20] - The company has developed a digital platform that enhances underwriting efficiency and customer interactions, supporting its growth in key segments like transportation and high-value homeowners [19] Financial Position - Kinsale Capital maintains a solid balance sheet with a debt-to-capital ratio of 9.66%, well below the industry average of 16.11%, reflecting prudent financial management [21] - The times interest earned ratio stands at 56.03, far exceeding the industry average of 17.02, indicating strong capacity to meet debt obligations [22] Shareholder Value - Over the past five years, Kinsale Capital has increased its dividend five times, resulting in a total payout growth of 12.43%, with a current payout ratio of 4% [23] - The company has also approved a $100 million share buyback program, with $70 million remaining under the current authorization [23] Conclusion - Kinsale Capital's strong organic growth, disciplined underwriting, and solid financial position, along with consistent shareholder returns, highlight its resilience and long-term potential [24]