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Will Amazon Partnership Help Netflix Double Ad Revenue Targets?
ZACKSยท 2025-09-12 15:01
Core Insights - Netflix's strategic partnership with Amazon Ads enhances its advertising capabilities, allowing advertisers direct access to Netflix's inventory through Amazon's demand-side platform starting in Q4 2025, covering 11 major markets [1][4] - The integration signifies a shift from Netflix's initial Microsoft partnership and aligns with existing partnerships with Google DV360, The Trade Desk, and Yahoo, leveraging Amazon DSP's targeting capabilities for its 94 million global ad-supported users [2][4] - Netflix's ad revenues doubled in 2024 and are projected to double again in 2025, with the ad-supported tier accounting for 55% of new sign-ups, appealing to cost-conscious consumers [3][4] Financial Performance - In Q2 2025, Netflix reported revenues of $11.08 billion, a 16% year-over-year increase, leading management to raise full-year guidance to $44.8-$45.2 billion [4] - The partnership with Amazon is expected to enhance Netflix's share of the connected TV advertising market, estimated at $25 billion annually [4] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Netflix's 2025 revenues is $45.03 billion, reflecting a 15.47% year-over-year growth, with earnings projected at $26.06 per share, indicating a 31.42% increase from the previous year [10] Competitive Landscape - The partnership intensifies competition for Disney and Warner Bros Discovery, which must enhance their programmatic capabilities to keep pace with Netflix's advancements [5] - Disney, with 157 million monthly active users, relies on its own advertising platform but lacks the breadth of Netflix's DSP partnerships, while Warner Bros Discovery's Max has not announced comparable third-party integrations [5] - Netflix's combination of Amazon's reach and its existing DSP relationships positions it advantageously in the programmatic advertising space, potentially forcing competitors to pursue similar partnerships [5] Stock Performance - Netflix shares have gained 35% year to date, outperforming the Zacks Broadcast Radio and Television industry's return of 12% [6][8] - From a valuation perspective, Netflix appears overvalued with a forward price-to-sales ratio of 10.42X compared to the industry's 4.88X, carrying a Value Score of D [12]