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中国电池供应链实地观察:ESS(储能系统)与库存积压需求 pipeline 强劲China Battery Materials-China Battery Supply Chain on the Ground Strong Pipeline on ESS + Stock Pile-up Demand
2025-10-29 02:52
Summary of the Conference Call on China Battery Materials Industry Overview - The report focuses on the **China Battery Materials** industry, particularly the battery supply chain and production dynamics for energy storage systems (ESS) and lithium iron phosphate (LFP) batteries. Key Insights - **Production Growth**: The production pipelines of the top five battery makers are projected to increase by **7% month-over-month (MoM)** and **45% year-over-year (YoY)**, reaching approximately **145 GWh** despite a high base effect from the previous year [1][2][3]. - **ESS Demand**: There is a strong demand for ESS batteries, contributing to the upward momentum in production pipelines [1]. - **LFP vs. NCM Production**: The LFP battery production pipeline is expected to rise by **9% MoM** in November 2025, while the NCM battery production pipeline remains relatively flat [1]. - **Stockpiling Strategy**: Some battery manufacturers are planning to stockpile batteries and battery materials in November due to rising average selling prices (ASP) of key materials such as LiPF6, separators, and lithium carbonate [1]. - **Top Picks**: Recommended companies in the supply chain include **CATL**, **EVE**, **CALB**, and **Hunan Yuneng** [1]. Additional Important Information - **Market Trends**: The diminishing seasonality impact on production indicates a more stable demand environment for battery materials [1]. - **Material Price Trends**: Recent trends show an increase in the ASP of battery materials, which may influence production strategies and profitability for battery manufacturers [1]. - **Forecasts**: The report includes forecasts for lithium production, cathode production, anode production, and electrolyte production, all expected to grow by **4% MoM** and **3% MoM**, respectively [5][8][9][10]. This summary encapsulates the essential points from the conference call regarding the China Battery Materials industry, highlighting production forecasts, demand dynamics, and strategic insights for key players in the market.