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Microvast Skyrockets 1162% in a Year: Is the Stock Still Worth Buying?
ZACKSยท 2025-09-12 17:00
Core Viewpoint - Microvast Holdings (MVST) has demonstrated exceptional stock performance, with a 1162.3% increase over the past year, significantly outperforming its industry and the broader market [1][4]. Group 1: Stock Performance - MVST's stock has surged 36.8% year-to-date, while competitors Algorhythm Holdings and Industrial Tech Acquisitions have seen declines of 88% and 24.7%, respectively [4]. - Over the past year, MVST's growth of 1162.3% far exceeds the industry's 76.2% and the S&P 500's 18.1% [1]. Group 2: Financial Performance - MVST achieved $380 million in revenue for 2024, reflecting a 24% year-over-year increase, driven by strong demand in the Asia-Pacific (APAC) and the United States [5][6]. - The EMEA region contributed 43% to revenues in the latest quarter, down from 55% a year ago, but still showing growth over the past six months [6]. Group 3: Strategic Initiatives - The company has a backlog of nearly $320 million for its EV battery systems, equating to 1,342 MWh, and is expanding production capacity in Huzhou, China, to meet this demand [9][10]. - MVST is building a second 2 GWh production line in Huzhou, expected to be operational by year-end, which will enhance production capacity for various battery formats [10]. Group 4: Market Opportunities - The partnership with Evoy allows MVST to enter the electric boat market, showcasing its technical capabilities and opening avenues in other EV sectors such as defense and aviation [8]. - The APAC region's revenue contribution increased from 43% to 52% year-over-year, indicating strong customer demand [7]. Group 5: Valuation Metrics - MVST's forward 12-month EPS is priced at 10.89 times, significantly lower than the industry average of 28.53 times, indicating potential undervaluation [11]. - The trailing 12-month EV-to-EBITDA ratio for MVST is 4.7, compared to the industry average of 39.29, further suggesting lower downside risks and favorable long-term growth prospects [11]. Group 6: Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for MVST's 2025 revenues is $462.3 million, representing a 22.9% year-over-year growth, with 2026 revenues projected at $563.5 million, indicating a 21.9% increase [14]. - The consensus estimate for 2025 EPS is 19 cents, suggesting a 170.4% year-over-year increase, while 2026 EPS is projected at 29 cents, reflecting a 52.6% growth [14]. Group 7: Analyst Confidence - Over the past 60 days, EPS estimates for 2025 and 2026 have been revised upward, with increases of 46.2% and 20.8%, respectively, indicating strong analyst confidence in MVST's growth [15]. Group 8: Investment Recommendation - Given the strong fundamentals, positive EPS revisions, and compelling growth narrative, MVST is recommended as a buy, currently holding a Zacks Rank 1 (Strong Buy) [17].