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TER Gains From Strong Semiconductor Test Segment: More Upside Ahead?
ZACKS· 2025-12-11 16:36
Core Insights - Teradyne (TER) is experiencing robust growth in its semiconductor test segment, with revenues increasing by 7% year over year and 23% sequentially in Q3 2025, making up 78.8% of total sales in the reported quarter [1][12] Group 1: Growth Drivers - The growth in Teradyne's semiconductor test segment is primarily driven by rising demand for AI-related products, as customers invest in cloud AI infrastructure and accelerate production of AI accelerators, networking devices, memory, and power devices [2] - The UltraFLEXplus system from Teradyne has been a key catalyst in meeting the stringent requirements of AI devices, addressing needs such as power, pin count, and test data [2] - Advancements in AI, particularly in AI accelerator Application-Specific Integrated Circuits, networking, and high-bandwidth memory (HBM) and Dynamic Random-Access Memory (DRAM), have significantly increased the demand for test equipment [3] Group 2: Memory Test Segment - Memory test sales have played a crucial role in the growth of the Semiconductor Test segment, with revenue more than doubling sequentially to $128 million in Q3 2025; 75% of this revenue was driven by DRAM and 25% by flash memory for cloud SSD applications [4][12] - The demand for DRAM is largely attributed to final tests of DRAM and HBM performance tests, which are essential for AI applications [4] Group 3: Future Outlook - For Q4 2025, Teradyne anticipates revenues between $920 million and $1 billion, fueled by strong AI-related demand across compute, networking, and memory segments [5] Group 4: Competitive Landscape - Teradyne faces significant competition in the semiconductor test market from companies like Advantest Corporation and Cohu [6] - Advantest is expanding its presence by focusing on the demand for AI-related high-performance semiconductors, significantly increasing sales of SoC and Memory Test Systems in Q2 2025 [7] - Cohu has gained attention with its Eclipse platform, chosen by a major U.S. semiconductor manufacturer for production testing of next-generation processors, featuring advanced thermal management capabilities [8][9] Group 5: Stock Performance and Valuation - Teradyne's shares have surged by 137.5% over the past six months, outperforming the Zacks Computer & Technology sector's increase of 26.3% and the Zacks Electronics - Miscellaneous Products rise of 24.7% [10] - The stock is currently trading at a forward 12-month Price/Sales ratio of 8.68X, higher than the industry's 6.99X, indicating a premium valuation [13] - The consensus estimate for fiscal 2026 earnings is $3.51 per share, reflecting a 9.01% year-over-year growth, with a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy) [15]