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3 Alternative Energy Stocks to Watch Amid Impacts of Policy Shift
ZACKSยท 2025-08-22 16:11
Industry Overview - The Zacks Alternative Energy industry is divided into two segments: one focuses on the generation and distribution of alternative energy, while the other is involved in the development and installation of renewable projects [2] - Global spending on clean energy reached a record $2.08 trillion in 2024, with expectations for similar or increased investments in the coming years, indicating solid growth opportunities for the industry [2] Trends Impacting the Industry - Wind energy is a key growth catalyst, with installations in the U.S. increasing by 91% year over year in Q1 2025, and projected installations of 8.1 gigawatts (GW) for the year [3] - The U.S. electric vehicle (EV) market is expected to grow significantly, with a projected compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 10.5% from 2025 to 2029, driven by rising electrification and declining battery costs [4] Challenges Facing the Industry - Rising costs of renewable installations, particularly due to increased steel prices for wind turbine blades, are posing significant challenges [5] - The U.S. government's heightened import tariffs and the passage of the One Big Beautiful Act (OBBA) have negatively impacted the wind industry, leading to a 50% decline in wind turbine orders in H1 2025 compared to the previous year [6] - The expiration of tax credits under the OBBA is projected to increase the unsubsidized Levelized Cost of Energy (LCOE) by an average of 25%, affecting the near-term growth of alternative energy stocks [6] Industry Performance - The Zacks Alternative Energy industry has outperformed both its sector and the Zacks S&P 500 composite over the past year, with a collective stock surge of 55.7% compared to a 1.3% decline in the Oil-Energy sector [11] - The industry's current valuation, based on the trailing 12-month EV/EBITDA ratio, is 21.24, higher than the S&P 500's 17.55 and the sector's 27.99 [12] Company Highlights - Talen Energy reported a 28.8% year-over-year increase in operating revenues and a 144.4% surge in operating income for Q2 2025, with a long-term earnings growth rate of 15.5% [17][18] - Brookfield Renewable plans to invest up to $1 billion to increase its equity interest in Isagen S.A., with a Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2025 earnings per share indicating a loss of 30 cents, an improvement from the previous year's loss of 89 cents [19][20] - Bloom Energy's revenues improved by 19.5% in Q2 2025, with an adjusted gross margin expansion of 650 basis points to 28.2% [23]