Core Insights - Lear (LEA) has a strong track record of beating earnings estimates, particularly in the last two quarters with an average surprise of 15.85% [1][5] - The most recent earnings report showed a surprise of 18.18%, with actual earnings of $2.64 per share compared to an expected $3.12 per share [2] - The previous quarter also saw a positive surprise of 13.51%, with actual earnings of $2.94 per share against an estimate of $2.59 per share [2] Earnings Estimates and Predictions - Estimates for Lear have been trending higher, supported by its history of earnings surprises [5] - The stock has a positive Zacks Earnings ESP of +5.50%, indicating bullish sentiment among analysts regarding its earnings prospects [8] - The combination of a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) suggests a high likelihood of another earnings beat [8] Statistical Insights - Research indicates that stocks with a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank of 3 or better have a nearly 70% chance of producing a positive surprise [6] - The Zacks Earnings ESP compares the Most Accurate Estimate to the Zacks Consensus Estimate, reflecting the latest analyst revisions [7] - The next earnings report for Lear is expected to be released on July 25, 2025 [8]

Core Viewpoint - The performance of Lear (LEA) in international markets is crucial for assessing its financial resilience and growth prospects, especially given its global presence in automotive seating and electrical distribution systems [1][2]. Group 1: International Revenue Performance - Lear's total revenue for the quarter was $5.56 billion, reflecting a decrease of 7.2% [4]. - South America contributed $177.8 million, accounting for 3.20% of total revenue, with a surprising decline of -18.54% compared to expectations of $218.26 million [5]. - Asia generated $1.07 billion, representing 19.27% of total revenue, with a slight surprise of -0.53% against the projected $1.08 billion [6]. - Europe and Africa contributed $2.06 billion, making up 37.09% of total revenue, exceeding the consensus estimate of $1.92 billion by +7.31% [7]. Group 2: Future Revenue Expectations - For the current fiscal quarter, total revenue is anticipated to be $5.69 billion, a decline of 5.4% from the same quarter last year, with expected contributions of 4.1% from South America ($232.79 million), 19.4% from Asia ($1.1 billion), and 36.2% from Europe and Africa ($2.06 billion) [8]. - For the full year, total revenue is projected at $22.13 billion, indicating a 5% decrease from the previous year, with regional contributions expected to be South America at 4% ($889.74 million), Asia at 19.6% ($4.33 billion), and Europe and Africa at 35.7% ($7.91 billion) [9]. Group 3: Market Trends and Stock Performance - Lear's reliance on international markets presents both opportunities and risks, making it essential to monitor international revenue trends for forecasting the company's prospects [10]. - Over the past month, Lear's stock has increased by 20.7%, outperforming the Zacks S&P 500 composite, which rose by 9.1% [13]. - In the last three months, Lear's stock price declined by 1.6%, while the S&P 500 index fell by 3.1% [13].