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Up 948%, Should You Buy Sandisk Right Now?
The Motley Fool· 2026-01-13 22:45
Core Viewpoint - Sandisk has experienced a remarkable stock increase of 948% since its spin-off from Western Digital, driven by strong demand for flash storage products due to AI applications [1][2]. Company Overview - Sandisk specializes in flash storage products, including SSDs, memory cards, flash drives, and embedded memory chips, catering to data centers, consumer devices, and edge devices [3]. - The company reports that demand for its storage products is outpacing supply, largely due to the growing need for storage driven by AI proliferation [3]. Financial Performance - In Q1 of fiscal 2026, revenue from edge devices like PCs and smartphones rose by 30% year-over-year, contributing 60% to Sandisk's total revenue [4]. - The company anticipates a low single-digit percentage increase in PC shipments and a mid-single-digit increase in storage capacity per PC, with potential for stronger growth due to AI-capable PCs requiring higher storage [5]. Market Dynamics - The smartphone market is also expected to see a high single-digit improvement in storage capacities due to on-device AI capabilities [7]. - Demand for SSDs in data centers is increasing significantly to support AI workloads, attributed to their superior performance and efficiency [7]. Strategic Engagements - Sandisk is actively engaging with five major hyperscale customers in the data center segment, with its SSD products currently in the qualification stage at several hyperscalers [8]. - The data center segment, which accounted for 11% of Sandisk's revenue in Q1, is projected to grow significantly as AI infrastructure builds out [9]. Pricing Environment - Supply constraints in the SSD market have led to increased prices for flash storage memory, with expectations of a double-digit price increase sequentially in Q2 [10]. - TrendForce forecasts a 33% to 38% increase in flash memory prices in Q1 2026, indicating a favorable pricing environment for Sandisk [11]. Valuation Metrics - Sandisk's stock is currently trading at 7 times sales, below the U.S. technology sector average of 8.7 [13]. - Earnings are projected to grow by 344% this year, followed by a 67% increase in the next fiscal year, suggesting a strong growth trajectory [13][14]. - The forward earnings multiple for Sandisk is 28, slightly above the Nasdaq-100 index's multiple of 26, indicating potential for premium valuation in the future [14].