Erinyes hypersonic vehicle
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KTOS Stock Rises 280.4% in a Year: Buy, Sell or Stay Invested?
ZACKS· 2025-10-14 19:40
Core Insights - Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. (KTOS) shares have increased by 280.4% over the past year, significantly outperforming the Zacks Aerospace-Defense Equipment industry's growth of 34% [1][8] - The company's growth is supported by its role as the primary unmanned aerial target drone provider for the U.S. Army and stable funding from the U.S. government [1][4] Performance Comparison - Other defense equipment stocks, such as AAR Corporation (AIR) and Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB), have also shown strong performance, with AIR shares up 34.4% and RKLB shares up 558.1% over the same period [3] Factors Driving Stock Price Increase - Notable contract wins and new product launches are key catalysts for boosting investor confidence and share price appreciation for aerospace-defense manufacturers like Kratos Defense [5] - In October 2025, Kratos introduced the "Ragnarök" Low-Cost Cruise Missile (LCCM) system, enhancing tactical strike capabilities [6] - The company secured a Phase 1 contract for developing sustainment capabilities for the U.S. Navy's AN/SPY-1 radar systems, establishing a foundation for the Integrated Radar Innovation Center [7] - Kratos received a $1.45 billion contract for the Multi-Service Advanced Capability Hypersonic Test Bed (MACH-TB) 2.0 program, marking its largest award to date [9] Future Growth Prospects - Kratos is diversifying its product line beyond drones, particularly in hypersonics, with ongoing orders for Erinyes and DarkFury hypersonic vehicles [11] - The company is investing $50 million in a new 68,000-square-foot Hypersonic System Payload Integration Facility in Crane, IN, to support hypersonic product development [11] - By the end of Q2 2025, Kratos had a solid backlog of $1.41 billion, indicating strong revenue generation prospects [12] Financial Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for KTOS' 2025 sales indicates a year-over-year increase of 15.7%, with earnings per share (EPS) expected to rise by 4.1% [13] - Current estimates for sales and EPS reflect positive growth trends for both 2025 and 2026 [14][15] Valuation and Investment Considerations - KTOS shares are trading at a forward 12-month price-to-sales (P/S) ratio of 10.91X, which is a premium compared to the industry average of 9.87X [20] - Despite strong growth prospects, the company faces challenges such as supply chain disruptions and potential funding cuts due to federal budget pressures [16][17] - The trailing 12-month return on invested capital (ROIC) for KTOS is below the peer group average, indicating insufficient returns on investments [18]