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Lam Research Corporation (LRCX): A Bull Case Theory
Yahoo Financeยท 2025-09-16 16:59
Core Thesis - Lam Research Corporation (LRCX) is viewed positively due to its strong market position in the semiconductor equipment sector, particularly in etching and deposition technologies, with significant market shares of approximately 55% in etch and 24% in deposition [2][4] Company Overview - Founded in 1980, Lam Research has established itself as a leader in advanced etch technologies, holding over 90% market share in high-margin segments such as HAR etch for 3D-NAND and selective etch at the atomic scale [2] - The company operates with an asset-light model, maintaining capital expenditures typically below 6% of revenue, which enhances operational efficiency compared to competitors like Applied Materials and Tokyo Electron [3] Financial Performance - LRCX's complex etch segment accounts for 40-45% of total etch revenue and is considered non-discretionary for customers, providing insulation from semiconductor cycle volatility [3] - The Customer Support Business Group contributes 30-35% of high-margin recurring revenue, further stabilizing the company's financial performance [3] - Current market pricing reflects only about 9% free cash flow growth, while forecasts suggest a more reasonable 20% compound annual growth rate (CAGR) before moderating [4] Investment Potential - LRCX is positioned to capture substantial high-margin revenue growth as semiconductor demand increases, particularly in advanced etch for next-generation logic and memory [4] - The company boasts top-tier returns on invested capital exceeding 30% and superior efficiency among peers, making its current trading multiple attractive relative to its capital productivity [4] - The stock has appreciated approximately 21% since previous bullish coverage, indicating a positive market response to its growth potential [5]