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Forget AT&T, Buy These 3 Promising Telecom Stocks Instead for 2026
ZACKS· 2025-12-17 17:50
Industry Overview - The telecom sector experienced strong demand trends in 2025, driven by accelerated 5G deployment and increased fiber densification, despite a challenging macroeconomic environment [1] - The industry is benefiting from a software-driven, data-centric approach that enhances cloud architecture and user experience [3] - Telecom service providers are increasingly adopting fiber optic cables to meet the growing demand for cloud-based data and video streaming services [3] 5G Ecosystem and Innovations - 5G is recognized as a key catalyst for Generative AI and next-generation IoT services, including connected cars and smart cities, revolutionizing various industry verticals [2] - The deployment of 5G networks is expected to boost the adoption of IoT devices, with technologies like network slicing gaining prominence [10] Network Convergence - Operators are moving towards converged network structures that combine voice, video, and data communications, enabling rapid scaling of communication functionalities [4] - The proliferation of cloud networking solutions is increasing demand for quality networking equipment as both consumers and enterprises utilize the network [4] Company-Specific Insights - AT&T is facing challenges with a decline in legacy services and increasing long-term debt, struggling with wireline losses and shrinking Internet revenue [6][7] - Ericsson is expanding its 5G infrastructure with 194 live networks globally and focusing on enterprise business growth, positioning itself for market leadership in 5G [10][11] - CommScope is enhancing its product portfolio through acquisitions and innovations, such as the HX6-611-6WH/B antenna, to meet future network demands [15][16] - Viavi Solutions is leveraging the transition to 5G networks to drive growth, focusing on network test and monitoring solutions [18][19] Stock Performance and Outlook - Ericsson's stock has gained 20.6% over the past year, with earnings estimates for the current and next fiscal year increasing by 50% and 6.9%, respectively [12] - CommScope's stock has surged 193.7% over the past year, with significant increases in earnings estimates for the current and next fiscal year [17] - Viavi's stock has risen 71.2% over the past year, with earnings estimates also showing substantial growth [20][22]
Telephone and Data Systems (TDS) 2025 Conference Transcript
2025-09-04 12:32
Summary of Telephone and Data Systems (TDS) Conference Call Company and Industry Overview - **Company**: Telephone and Data Systems (TDS) and its subsidiary Array Digital Infrastructure - **Industry**: Telecommunications, specifically focusing on fiber and tower operations Key Points and Arguments TDS and Array Digital Infrastructure - The deal with T-Mobile to sell wireless operations closed on August 1, 2025, marking a significant transition for TDS and Array [2][3] - Array now operates as a separate entity, owning 4,400 towers, making it the fifth largest tower company in the U.S. [4] Spectrum Sales and Financial Outlook - TDS is pursuing pending spectrum sales worth $1 billion each with AT&T and Verizon, expecting regulatory approval soon [5][14] - The company has sold 70% of its spectrum and has remaining C band spectrum, which has no build requirements until 2029 [6][16] - Anticipation of special dividends from the proceeds of spectrum sales, with the AT&T deal expected to close by the end of 2025 [14][15] Colocation Growth - Colocation revenues grew by 12% in Q2 2025, with a significant increase in application fees contributing to this growth [7] - T-Mobile has committed to 2,015 colocations, which is expected to increase cash revenues by approximately 50% [8] Fiber Expansion Strategy - TDS aims to double its fiber footprint from 900,000 to 1,800,000 addresses over the next five years, having surpassed 1 million fiber addresses recently [12][13] - The company is focused on two major build programs: expansion into new communities and converting existing copper addresses to fiber [35][36] Financial Management and Capital Return - TDS has a leverage ratio target of 3x, providing flexibility for future growth [24] - Plans for special dividends following spectrum sales, with expectations for a regular recurring dividend by late 2026 or early 2027 [28] Market Position and Competitive Landscape - The company does not view fixed wireless or satellite-based broadband (e.g., Starlink) as significant threats to its fiber business [46][78] - Increased competition from overbuilders in cable markets is noted, but TDS remains confident in its competitive product offerings [73][75] Operational Improvements and AI Utilization - TDS is implementing operational improvements and utilizing AI to enhance efficiency and customer experience [66][67] - The company is focused on streamlining back-office operations and enhancing customer service through technology [64] Customer Behavior and Economic Impact - No significant changes in customer payment behavior or churn rates have been observed due to macroeconomic conditions [71] - The company remains optimistic about its product demand, which is considered recession-resistant [71] Future Plans and Investor Relations - TDS plans to provide clearer disclosures regarding its tower business and fiber operations in upcoming earnings calls [83][84] - The company is evaluating additional opportunities for growth, including potential M&A, while maintaining financial discipline [37][62] Additional Important Content - The company is focused on enhancing its fiber network efficiency, which is expected to improve margins over time [63] - TDS is committed to maintaining a strong balance sheet, having paid off most of its debt post-deal [57][58] - The management team is in place, with a focus on operational success and strategic growth [32]