Summary of Tencent Holdings Ltd. 3Q25 Earnings Call Company Overview - **Company**: Tencent Holdings Ltd. - **Industry**: China Internet and Other Services - **Date of Call**: November 13, 2025 Key Financial Results - **Revenue**: - 3Q25 revenue increased by 15% year-over-year (YoY) to Rmb 192.87 billion, beating consensus estimates by 2% [6] - **Net Profit**: - Non-IFRS net profit rose by 18% YoY to Rmb 70.55 billion, slightly exceeding consensus by 4.9% [6] - **Gross Profit**: - Gross profit increased by 22% YoY to Rmb 108.80 billion, with a gross margin of 56.4%, up 1.3 percentage points YoY [6] - **Operating Profit**: - Operating profit reached Rmb 63.55 billion, a 19.2% increase YoY [6] Segment Performance - **Value-Added Services (VAS)**: - Online games revenue grew by 23% YoY, driven mainly by international games [6] - **Advertising**: - Online advertising revenue increased by 21% YoY, beating estimates by 1% [6] - **FinTech and Business Services**: - Revenue from this segment grew by 10% YoY, in line with expectations [6] Capital Expenditure and Buybacks - **Capex**: - Capital expenditures were Rmb 13 billion in 3Q25, down from Rmb 19.1 billion in 2Q25 [6] - **Share Buybacks**: - The company repurchased shares worth HK$21.1 billion in 3Q25, with a full-year buyback target of over HK$80 billion [6] Market Position and Valuation - **Market Capitalization**: - Current market cap stands at approximately US$782.97 billion [4] - **Price Target**: - The price target is set at HK$700, indicating a potential upside of 7% from the current price of HK$656 [4] Analyst Ratings - **Stock Rating**: - The stock is rated as "Overweight" by Morgan Stanley, reflecting a positive outlook on the company's performance [4] Risks and Opportunities - **Opportunities**: - Successful execution of new game launches, market share gains in social and short video ads, and resilience in social network competition [9] - **Risks**: - Regulatory uncertainties in the gaming industry, intensified competition in social networks, and tightened regulations amid US-China tensions [9] Conclusion - **Overall Assessment**: - The earnings call indicates a strong performance by Tencent in 3Q25, with significant revenue growth and profitability, despite a cautious outlook on capital expenditures and potential regulatory challenges. The company's strategic focus on gaming and advertising positions it well for future growth, while ongoing risks need to be monitored closely.

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Tencent Holdings Ltd. is "Overweight" with an attractive industry view [5][70]. Core Insights - The report indicates a modest upside and a modest revision higher in the earnings forecast, strengthening the overall investment thesis [2][7]. - Tencent's total revenues for 1Q25 reached RMB 180.022 billion, representing a year-over-year increase of 12.9% and beating consensus estimates by 2.6% [3][7]. - The gaming segment showed significant growth, with online games revenue increasing by 23.7% year-over-year, surpassing consensus by 7.6% [3][7]. - Gross profit rose by 19.8% year-over-year, with a gross margin of 55.8%, an increase of 3.2 percentage points compared to the previous year [3][7]. - Non-IFRS net profit increased by 22% year-over-year, also exceeding consensus expectations by 4% [3][7]. Financial Performance Summary - **Revenue Breakdown**: - Value-Added Services (VAS) revenue was RMB 92.133 billion, up 17.2% year-over-year, with online games contributing RMB 59.5 billion [3]. - Online advertising revenue was RMB 31.853 billion, reflecting a 20.2% increase [3]. - FinTech and Business Services revenue was RMB 54.907 billion, a 5% increase [3]. - **Profitability Metrics**: - Operating profit (Non-IFRS) reached RMB 69.320 billion, an 18.3% increase year-over-year [3]. - The diluted EPS for 1Q25 was RMB 5.1, a 16.9% increase year-over-year [3]. - **Future Projections**: - The fiscal year 2025 revenue is projected to be RMB 726 billion, with an expected EPS of RMB 23.30 [5][70]. Valuation and Price Target - The price target for Tencent Holdings Ltd. is set at HK$630.00, indicating a potential upside of 21% from the current price of HK$521.00 [5]. - The valuation methodology includes a discounted cash flow (DCF) approach with a 10% discount rate and a 3% terminal growth rate [8][9].