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HWM's Weakness in Transportation Market Prevails: What's the Road Ahead?
ZACKSยท 2025-09-17 16:15
Core Insights - Howmet Aerospace Inc. (HWM) is experiencing challenges in its commercial transportation market, with a 9% year-over-year revenue decline in the first half of 2025, primarily due to weaker OEM builds in the Forged Wheels segment [1][8] - Rising raw material costs, especially aluminum, and stringent emissions regulations are impacting the segment, alongside reduced commercial truck production due to economic uncertainties in North America [2] - Supply-chain volatility continues to affect Howmet Aerospace, leading to delays and increased costs, which are expected to persist [3] Market Performance - Despite difficulties in the commercial transportation sector, Howmet Aerospace is benefiting from strong demand in the commercial and defense aerospace markets, particularly for F-35 engine spares and aerospace fastening systems [4][8] - In comparison, peers like Textron Inc. and GE Aerospace are showing positive growth, with Textron reporting a 5.4% sales increase and GE Aerospace's revenues from Commercial Engines & Services rising by 30% year-over-year in Q2 2025 [5][6] Financial Metrics - Howmet Aerospace's stock has surged 98% over the past year, significantly outperforming the industry average growth of 14% [7] - The company is currently trading at a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 45.96X, which is above the industry average of 28.16X, indicating a relatively high valuation [10] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for HWM's earnings has been increasing over the past 60 days, with current estimates for the current year at $3.57 and next year at $4.28 [11][12]