Summary of Hongfa Technology (600885.SS) Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Hongfa Technology (600885.SS) - **Industry**: Relay and electrical components manufacturing Key Financial Results - **2Q25 Financial Performance**: - Revenue: Rmb4,364 million, +16% YoY, +10% QoQ [1] - Gross Profit: Rmb1,513 million, +16% YoY, +12% QoQ [1] - Operating Profit: Rmb798 million, +18% YoY, +32% QoQ [1] - Net Profit: Rmb553 million, +13% YoY, +35% QoQ [1] - Gross Profit Margin (GPM): 34.7%, flat YoY, +1pp QoQ [1] Segment Performance - **General Relay (Home Appliance)**: Rmb864 million in 2Q25, +0% YoY [5] - **General Relay (Solar Inverters)**: Rmb397 million in 2Q25, +60% YoY due to demand in China [5] - **Auto Relay**: Rmb607 million in 2Q25, +16% YoY [5] - **HVDC Relay**: Rmb1,348 million in 2Q25, +54% YoY, gaining market share in Europe [5] - **Industrial Control Relay**: Rmb312 million in 2Q25, +44% YoY, recovering due to restocking cycle in Europe [5] - **Power Relay**: Rmb568 million in 2Q25, -10% YoY, affected by North American demand [11] Market Outlook - **Demand Stabilization**: Management expects demand to stabilize in 2H25E, overcoming tariff policy uncertainties [1] - **European Demand Recovery**: Anticipated recovery in European demand for industrial control relays [1] - **China and India Contribution**: Incremental contributions expected from China and India markets for power relays [1] - **Indirect Data Center Applications**: Expected revenue of Rmb700-800 million in 2024, with 20-30% YoY growth [1] Growth Projections - **2025E Growth Forecast**: Projected 13% YoY revenue growth and 14% YoY net profit growth [1] - **GPM Improvement**: Expected GPM to improve to 37.7% in 2H25E [9] Capacity Expansion - **Germany Factory**: Began production in April 2025, focusing on HVDC products for European customers [8] - **Indonesia Facility**: Phase I on track for commercial operation by June 2026E, aiming for localized production [8] Risks and Valuation - **Market Share**: Hongfa holds a 24% global market share in relays as of 2024, with potential for further gains [13] - **Valuation**: Target price set at Rmb29.71 based on a 2026E P/E of 20x, with a current price of Rmb23.61, indicating a 25.9% upside [16] - **Downside Risks**: Include weaker-than-expected smart meter revenue and rising raw material costs [14] Conclusion - **Investment Rating**: The company remains rated as a Buy, with a solid setup for continued growth into 2H25E [1][13]