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Meta Platforms vs. Alphabet: Which Digital Ad Behemoth Has an Edge?
ZACKS· 2025-06-19 17:16
Core Insights - Meta Platforms and Alphabet are leading players in the digital advertising market, with significant revenue growth reported in Q1 2025 [1][2] - Meta's advertising revenues increased by 16.2% year over year to $42.3 billion, while Alphabet's revenues rose by 8.5% to $66.9 billion [1][2] Revenue Projections - eMarketer projects Meta Platforms to achieve revenues of $209.15 billion in 2025, with Facebook and Instagram contributing $116.53 billion and $67.27 billion, respectively [2] - Alphabet is expected to generate $183.8 billion in revenues, with Google and YouTube contributing $189.74 billion and $19.42 billion, respectively [2] - Global ad spending is forecasted to grow by 4.9% to $992 billion in 2025, with digital ad spending anticipated to increase by 7.9% to $678.7 billion [2] Stock Performance - Year-to-date, Meta Platforms shares have appreciated by 18.8%, while Alphabet shares have decreased by 8.5% [3] - Meta's focus on improving advertisers' return on ad spending through AI tools has been a significant factor in its stock performance [6][9] AI Integration and User Engagement - Meta Platforms is leveraging AI to enhance ad targeting and user engagement, with a 5% increase in conversion rates from its new Generative Ads Recommendation model [6][9] - The integration of AI across Meta's platforms has resulted in a 7% increase in time spent on Facebook and a 35% increase on Threads over the past six months [8][9] Growth Expectations - Meta's revenues are projected to grow by 11.9% year over year in 2025, with advertising revenues expected to increase by 11.8% [10] - Alphabet's Google Advertising revenues are expected to rise by 6.6% year over year, driven by growth in Search and YouTube Ads [12] Regulatory Challenges - Both companies face macroeconomic challenges, including tariffs and regulatory pressures, particularly Alphabet, which is dealing with a DOJ lawsuit that could lead to a breakup of its core product segments [3][13] - The DOJ's actions against Alphabet highlight the increasing competition from AI-powered products, posing risks to its market position [13] Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Meta's 2025 earnings is $25.25 per share, indicating a 5.83% increase over fiscal 2024 [14] - Alphabet's earnings estimate remains steady at $9.51 per share, suggesting an 18.28% growth over 2024 [15] Valuation Comparison - Meta Platforms shares are trading at a forward Price/Sales ratio of 8.89X, while Alphabet's ratio is lower at 6.13X, indicating that GOOGL is relatively cheaper [16] Conclusion - Both companies are expected to benefit from strong digital ad spending despite regulatory headwinds, with Meta having a slight edge over Alphabet in the near term due to its strategic initiatives [18]
Meta Platforms vs. Microsoft: Which AI Superpower is a Better Buy?
ZACKS· 2025-05-15 20:01
Core Insights - Meta Platforms and Microsoft are emerging as leaders in artificial intelligence (AI) with substantial investments in AI infrastructure and applications [1] - Meta is planning to invest between $64 billion and $72 billion, while Microsoft anticipates increased capital expenditures to support growth in cloud offerings and AI investments [1] Investment Opportunities - Meta Platforms is focusing on enhancing advertisers' return on ad spending through its proprietary machine learning system, Andromeda, which is powered by NVIDIA [2] - The launch of a new Generative Ads Recommendation model has resulted in a 5% increase in conversion rates for Facebook Reels [3] - Meta's recommendation system improvements have led to a 7% increase in time spent on Facebook, a 6% increase on Instagram, and a 35% increase on Threads over the past six months [3] Product Developments - Meta is emphasizing personalization and entertainment in its AI initiatives, including the launch of a standalone Meta AI app and growing sales of Ray-Ban Meta AI glasses and Quest [4] - Microsoft has over 60,000 Azure AI customers, reflecting a nearly 60% year-over-year increase [5] - The Azure AI Agent Service has been utilized by over 10,000 organizations, and Microsoft's Phi small language models have achieved 38 million downloads [6] Performance Metrics - Microsoft 365 Copilot is expanding rapidly, with usage increasing threefold compared to the previous year, and it has been adopted by over 230,000 organizations, including 90% of the Fortune 500 [7] - Meta Platforms shares have outperformed Microsoft year-to-date, with a 12.5% appreciation compared to Microsoft's 7.5% [8] Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Meta's 2025 earnings is $25.52 per share, indicating a 6.96% increase over fiscal 2024 [11] - Microsoft's fiscal 2025 earnings estimate has increased to $13.30 per share, suggesting a 12.71% growth over 2024 [12] Valuation Insights - Meta Platforms shares are trading at a forward 12-month Price/Sales ratio of 8.57X, which is lower than Microsoft's 10.9X, indicating that Meta is relatively cheaper [14] Conclusion - While both companies are leveraging AI for growth, Microsoft is better positioned due to strong adoption of its AI services and products, earning it a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy) compared to Meta's Zacks Rank 3 (Hold) [16]