以下文章来源于方伟看十年 ，作者方伟Rey ——查理·芒格 昨天看阿里千问的30亿红包请大家喝奶茶挺热闹的，星球里一位朋友问了一个问题： "AI大模型的发展会对拼多多造成什么样的影响，虽然说商品最终比拼的还是质量+价格，但如果入 口替代了，这部分的广告收入就少了？如果未来都是玩大模型，然后按全网比价买东西，那拼多多的 使用时长大幅下降，也没有短视频什么事，推荐商品的玩法也玩完。" 方伟看十年 . 可移步"方伟看十年的备用号"接受每日文章推送。独立投资人，前互联网创业者，产品经理；所写即所 思，所思即所行 本文来自微信公众号： 方伟看十年 ，作者：方伟Rey "Costco有一点是亚马逊没有的：人们真的信任Costco能提供巨大价值。这就是Costco对亚马逊构成 威胁的原因，因为他们提供价值的声誉比几乎任何人都好，包括亚马逊.....他们疯狂地希望每年为顾 客提供更好服务，其他公司节省成本会转化为利润，而西内加尔（Costco前CEO）会把它让利给顾 客，这几乎是一种宗教义务。" 我其实是个大闲人，每天都在跟各种AI聊天，捣鼓各种AI Agent（智能助手），乐此不疲。 我们评价互联网的成长首要看什么？看带宽 ...

千亿私募景林近日披露最新美股持仓明细。数据显示，去年四季度，景林大幅减持英伟达，并加仓谷歌、拼多多、英特尔等公司。 截至去年四季度末，景林的美股持仓总市值为40.4亿美元，较三季度末下降3.37%。前十大重仓股分别为：谷歌、Meta、拼多多、网易、满帮、富途、英伟达、阿里 巴巴、英特尔和亚朵。 减持方面，景林减持力度最大的个股是英伟达，去年四季度合计卖出154.09万股，减持幅度高达64.78%，英伟达在景林投资组合中的占比降至3.86%。景林卖出 Meta公司22.91万股，持股数下降18.68%，持仓市值占比下降4.01%。同时，景林也对涅比乌斯集团、标普生物科技ETF-SPDR、贝壳等做出减持。 去年底，景林资产管理合伙人、基金经理高云程在《2025年终给投资者的一封信》中指出，在AI、新能源、智能驾驶、人形机器人等新经济发展的前沿领域，中美 都在积极投资，相关公司在这个大浪潮中快速成长。在警惕泡沫或者过度投资的同时，我们也清晰地看到AI对各行各业的渗透和改造才刚刚开始。 高云程认为，对作为重要AI应用入口或者平台的公司都应该重视。能称为世界级入口或者平台型的公司大约也只有几家，例如谷歌、Meta、苹果 ...

Shares of Amazon, which had announced a $200 billion capital expenditure outlay, slid 7% on Friday, while Alphabet lost 3% after the company said on Wednesday that capital spending could double this year. Meta Platforms was down ‌1.3%. Other heavyweight technology ‌companies, however, were trading higher: Nvidia rose 7%, Microsoft gained 1% and Tesla was up 4%. The benchmark S&P 500 added 1.6% while the Nasdaq rose 2% although both indexes are set to ‌finish the week lower. "The market's viewpoint is that ...

黄仁勋发表这番言论之前，英伟达的主要客户 Meta、亚马逊、谷歌和微软在过去两周内相继公布了最 新财报。它们告诉投资者，计划大幅增加在人工智能基础设施方面的投入。 来源：环球网 【环球网科技综合报道】2月7日消息，英伟达 CEO黄仁勋在节目中表示，科技行业在人工智能基础设 施方面不断增长的资本支出是合理、适当且可持续的。原因在于所有这些公司的现金流都将开始增长。 华尔街对支出激增的反应不一，Meta和Alphabet的股价上涨，但亚马逊和微软的股价却受到冲击。 黄仁勋说："只要人们继续为人工智能付费，人工智能公司能够从中获利，它们就会不断翻倍、翻倍、 翻倍、翻倍。"（思瀚） ...

Group 1 - The core point of the article is that major tech companies, including Amazon, Google, Microsoft, and Meta, are significantly increasing their capital expenditures for 2026 to a total of $660 billion, which is a 60% increase from 2025 and more than double the spending in 2024 [1] Group 2 - Amazon's capital expenditure is projected to reach $200 billion, exceeding market expectations by $50 billion, which led to an 8% drop in its stock price during pre-market trading [3] - Microsoft reported a staggering 66% increase in quarterly data center spending and revealed a significant risk exposure to OpenAI, with 45% of its $625 billion future cloud contracts linked to the startup, raising concerns about over-reliance on a single client [5] - Alphabet, Google's parent company, plans to double its capital expenditure to $185 billion despite its annual revenue surpassing $400 billion, which negatively impacted its stock price [5] Group 3 - Despite strong growth in cloud business revenues and a 14% increase in total annual revenue to $1.6 trillion, market sentiment remains pessimistic, with analysts noting that the scale of spending is "staggering" [6] - Analysts believe that high capital expenditures indicate that AI strategies will take longer to yield returns, leading to a shift in investor sentiment from initial "AI frenzy" to a "mini pause," with a focus on profit statements [6] - Apple emerged as a winner by outsourcing most of its AI infrastructure costs through an agreement with Google, adopting a "pay-as-you-go" model, resulting in a capital expenditure of only around $12 billion last year, which even saw a 17% decline in the last three months [6] - Thanks to strong sales of the iPhone 17 and a low-risk AI strategy, Apple's stock price increased by 7.5% [6]

来源：智通财经网 根据美国证券交易委员会(SEC)披露，景林资产递交了截至2025年12月31日的第四季度持仓报告(13F)。 其在四季度大幅减持英伟达，谷歌升至第一重仓。 具体来看，景林资产第四季度持仓总市值为40.4亿美元，上一季度总市值为44.4亿美元。在第四季度的 持仓组合中，该基金新增1只个股，增持5只个股;同时清仓了3只个股，减持10只个股。其中，前十大持 仓标的占总市值的82.58%。 | 2025-12-31 | | | --- | --- | | 13F Activity | | | Market Value | $4.04b, Prior: $4.44b | | Inflows (Outflows) as % of Total MV | (-3.3728)% | | New Purchases | 1 stocks | | Added To | 5 stocks | | Sold out of | 3 stocks | | Reduced holdings in | 10 stocks | | Top 10 Holdings % | 82.85% | 在前十大重仓股中，Alphabet I ...

具体来看，景林资产第四季度持仓总市值为40.4亿美元，上一季度总市值为44.4亿美元。在第四季度的持仓组合中，该基金新增1只个股，增持5只个股;同时 清仓了3只个股，减持10只个股。其中，前十大持仓标的占总市值的82.58%。 | Market Value | $4.04b, Prior: $4.44b | | --- | --- | | Inflows (Outflows) as % of Total MV | (-3.3728)% | | New Purchases | 1 stocks | | Added To | 5 stocks | | Sold out of | 3 stocks | | Reduced holdings in | 10 stocks | | Top 10 Holdings % | 82.85% | 在前十大重仓股中，Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL.US) 位列第一，持仓约269.00万股，持仓市值约8.42亿美元，占投资组合比例为20.82%，较上季度持仓数量增加 约92.97万股。 智通财经APP获悉，根据美国证券交易委员会(SEC)披露，景林资产递交了截至2025年 ...

Market Overview - The US stock market experienced a significant rally, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average surpassing the 50,000 points mark for the first time in history, closing at 50,115.67 points, up 2.47% [3] - The S&P 500 index rose by 1.97% to 6,932.3 points, while the Nasdaq Composite increased by 2.18% to 23,031.21 points [3] - Weekly performance showed mixed results, with the Dow gaining 2.5% while the Nasdaq fell by 1.84% and the S&P 500 dipped by 0.1% [3] Sector Performance - Major technology stocks saw a boost, with the US Technology Seven Index rising by 1.02% [4] - Semiconductor stocks performed well, with the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index surging, AMD increasing by over 11%, and Broadcom rising by over 7% [8] Individual Stock Highlights - Nvidia's stock surged by 7.81%, closing at $185.41 per share, with a total market capitalization of $450.55 billion [8] - Tesla's shares rose by 3.48%, while Microsoft and Apple also saw increases; however, Amazon fell by 5.62%, Google by 2.5%, and Meta by 1.31% [7][8] Chinese Stocks - Chinese stocks listed in the US saw a general increase, with the Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index rising by 3.71% [9] - Notable performers included Alibaba, which rose over 3%, Baidu increasing by over 5%, and Li Auto rising by over 6% [10] Commodity Market - Spot gold prices surged nearly 4%, reaching a high of $4,971.39 per ounce, and currently trading at $4,966.61 per ounce [12] - Spot silver prices also saw a significant increase, breaking $78 per ounce with a daily rise of 9.7% [14] Federal Reserve Insights - Federal Reserve Vice Chairman Jefferson indicated that the current interest rate stance is appropriate for a stable economy, despite inflation remaining above the 2% target [17] - The Fed's recent rate cuts have brought rates to a range of 3.5% to 3.75%, aligning with market expectations for a neutral level that neither stimulates nor suppresses the economy [18]

Core Viewpoint - UBS Group significantly reduced its holdings in major technology stocks during the fourth quarter of 2025, with only a slight increase in Meta among the "Magnificent 7" tech stocks [2][3]. Group 1: Holdings and Changes - UBS disclosed a reduction in its portfolio, with a total market value of $616.68 billion, a decrease of 5.65% quarter-over-quarter [2]. - The top five holdings as of the end of 2025 were Nvidia ($14.45 billion), Microsoft ($13.56 billion), Apple ($12.11 billion), Broadcom ($8.23 billion), and Amazon ($7.99 billion), collectively accounting for 14.52% of the investment portfolio [3]. - In Q4 2025, UBS reduced its stake in Nvidia by 10.47% (10.04 million shares), Apple by 10.57% (5.27 million shares), Microsoft by 7.64% (2.32 million shares), Google by 9.05% (2.21 million shares), Amazon by 4.57% (1.66 million shares), and Tesla by 15.09% (0.71 million shares) [3][4]. Group 2: Financial Performance - UBS reported Q4 2025 total revenue of $12.1 billion, exceeding analyst expectations and up from $11.6 billion year-over-year [5]. - Net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 56% year-over-year to $1.2 billion, surpassing the forecast of $919 million [5]. - Wealth management business saw a net inflow of $8.5 billion, significantly lower than the expected $27.4 billion, with a notable outflow of $14.1 billion from the U.S. wealth management sector [5][6]. Group 3: Future Outlook - UBS's CEO indicated that net new assets in the Americas wealth management division are expected to turn positive in 2026, although challenges are anticipated in the first half of the year [6]. - The investment banking division contributed significantly to the overall profit, with a 34% increase in operating profit driven by market volatility [6].

据悉，四家科技巨头的资本支出规划均剑指人工智能工具市场主导权，彭博社数据显示，四家公司2026年的资本支出预算均接近或超过过去三年总和，单家 支出规模也将刷新过去十年最高纪录。如此庞大的支出规模，业内称其先例仅能在上世纪90年代电信泡沫时期，或是19世纪美国铁路网建设、战后州际公路 投资、罗斯福新政救济计划中找寻参照。数据显示，这一支出规模较去年同期预计增长60%，背后是成排搭载昂贵处理器的服务器落地，也引发了一系列连 锁反应：相关领域借贷规模创历史新高，能源供应紧张问题加剧，开发商与担忧水电成本上涨的社区间的矛盾也随之凸显。同时，市场担忧这四家在美经济 活动中占比持续提升的企业，其巨额支出可能扭曲建筑支出、GDP、耐用品及就业报告等宏观经济数据，让整体经济表现看似更趋健康。 【环球网财经综合报道】据彭博社等外媒报道，全球人工智能赛道竞争日趋白热化，美国四大科技巨头Alphabet、亚马逊、Meta、微软公布2026年资本支出 计划，总额高达约6500亿美元，这笔巨资将主要投向数据中心新建及配套设备布局，规模创下本世纪以来新高，也成为全球数据中心建设浪潮加速的重要推 手。 DA Davidson分析师Gil ...