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Is TEM Stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell During Its Pivotal Transition?
ZACKS· 2025-12-10 13:41
Core Insights - Tempus AI (TEM) is shifting from a heavy-investment growth phase to a focus on improved operating leverage and a scalable revenue mix through the integration of genomics, multimodal real-world data, and clinical AI into a unified system [1] - Competitors such as Hims & Hers Health (HIMS) and Veeva Systems (VEEV) are also showing strong performance and strategic growth [1] Stock Performance - Year-to-date, TEM stock has increased by 124.8%, outperforming the broader industry gain of 10.3% and the S&P 500's 10.7% [2] - In comparison, HIMS rose by 64.7% and VEEV gained 10.4% during the same period [2] Growth Drivers - The Genomics segment of Tempus experienced significant year-over-year revenue and test-volume growth, driven by solid tumor testing, liquid biopsy, and pediatric and rare disease assays [3] - Ambry Genetics contributed to this growth by adding meaningful hereditary test-volume growth, helping Tempus gain market share [3] Data & Services Expansion - The Data & Services business has emerged as a high-margin revenue stream, particularly through the expansion of the Insights data-licensing business [4] - Collaborations, such as with Northwestern Medicine, aim to integrate AI into clinical workflows, enhancing operational efficiency [4][5] Innovations Beyond Oncology - Tempus is developing AI algorithms and diagnostic software that extend beyond oncology, including applications in digital pathology, radiology, cardiology, and neuropsychology [8] - The company has secured FDA clearances for its cardiac imaging platform and ECG software, enhancing its diagnostic capabilities [9] Competitive Positioning - Tempus has entered multi-year strategic collaborations with AstraZeneca and Pathos to build a large multimodal foundation model in oncology, gaining access to over 300 petabytes of data [10][11] - This extensive dataset provides a competitive advantage, making Tempus a valuable partner for pharmaceutical companies and health systems [11] Financial Outlook - For the full year 2025, Tempus is expected to achieve revenue growth of 82.2%, although earnings per share are projected to remain negative but improve by 58.9% year-over-year [12] - The loss per share estimate for 2025 has remained unchanged at 65 cents [12] Valuation Concerns - Tempus stock is considered expensive, with a forward price-to-sales ratio of 8.76X, higher than the industry average of 5.77X [16] Strategic Recommendations - Tempus is positioned to capitalize on long-term opportunities in precision medicine, despite reimbursement challenges [17] - Current shareholders are advised to maintain their positions, while potential investors may consider waiting for a more favorable entry point [18]