Workflow
Golf apparel
icon
Search documents
Topgolf Callaway Brands Corp. (MODG): A Bull Case Theory
Yahoo Finance· 2025-10-22 21:58
Core Thesis - Topgolf Callaway Brands Corp. is positioned for significant upside due to its strong fundamentals and strategic separation of its TopGolf Entertainment business, expected in 2026 [2][5] Company Overview - As of October 15th, Topgolf Callaway's shares were trading at $9.30, with trailing and forward P/E ratios of 98.91 and 156.25 respectively [1] - The company is preparing to spin off or potentially sell its TopGolf Entertainment business, which has been underperforming, while the core business remains strong [2] Financial Metrics - Callaway trades at approximately 5× projected 2027 EPS and 1.2× EV/Sales, indicating significant upside potential compared to competitors like TaylorMade and Titleist [3] - The projected 2027 EPS for Callaway is $1.57, with scenarios suggesting a potential upside of 70% to 160% [5] Market Dynamics - The golf industry is experiencing macro tailwinds, including increased participation from females and juniors, and a growing number of rounds played annually [4] - There is a replacement cycle for golf clubs, particularly for drivers, irons, and wedges, which positions Callaway to capture premium spending [4] Revenue Streams - TopTracer technology, which covers 24,000 bays globally, is generating recurring high-margin revenue and is expected to provide a 15% uplift to EBIT [3] - The sale of Jack Wolfskin has reduced leverage and improved the balance sheet, enhancing financial flexibility for the company [5] Strategic Considerations - Despite challenges such as inventory glut and promotional pressures, Callaway maintains strong brand recognition and favorable product placement [4] - The standalone Callaway business, focusing on high-margin clubs, apparel, and TopTracer, presents a compelling investment opportunity supported by operational growth and strategic options [5]