Key Takeaways Tilray is pressured by a stricter U.S. hemp definition and a recent 1-for-10 reverse stock split.The new rule threatens low-dose THC beverages, a small but fast-growing category for Tilray.Tilray's cannabis sales rose on stronger Canadian adult-use demand and expanding international markets.Shares of Tilray Brands (TLRY) , one of the most well-known players in the cannabis space, have been declining steadily over the past month.This downside can be attributed to the U.S. legislation passed las ...

Industry Overview - The cannabis market was valued at $43.72 billion in 2022 and is projected to reach $444.34 billion by 2030, reflecting a CAGR of 34.03% [1] - Global marijuana legalization is gaining momentum, driven by the recognition of its medicinal value and therapeutic uses [1] Company Performance Tilray Brands (TLRY) - Tilray's shares surged 105.5% over the past six months, outperforming Cresco Labs, which gained only 0.3% [4] - In the fiscal first quarter, Tilray's Canadian cannabis revenues rose 4% year over year to $51 million, supported by significant cultivation capacity of approximately 5 million square feet and 210 metric tons of cannabis in production [10] - The company is expanding its medical cannabis footprint in Europe, with plans to triple its German distribution footprint by fiscal 2026 [5][8] - Tilray's international expansion includes a joint venture in Panama and a partnership in Italy to broaden the availability of its medical cannabis extracts [6][7] - The company is also innovating with new product offerings, such as its first medical cannabis edible in Australia [7] Cresco Labs (CRLBF) - Cresco's shares have gained 0.3% over the past six months, indicating slower growth compared to Tilray [4] - The company launched its flagship Cresco-branded flower in Germany, marking its entry into the EU market, which is one of the fastest-growing regulated cannabis markets [12] - Cresco has partnered with a EU GMP-certified manufacturer in Portugal to produce signature flower SKUs, ensuring compliance with European quality standards [13] - Domestically, Cresco holds leading market shares in key states but faces challenges from a tightly regulated and price-compressed market, with revenues declining year over year [15][16] Valuation Comparison - Tilray is trading at a forward 12-month price-to-sales (P/S) ratio of 1.21, above its median of 0.99, while Cresco's forward sales multiple is 0.38, below its one-year median of 0.58 [18] - For fiscal 2026, Tilray's projected loss per share is 5 cents, while Cresco's is projected at 14 cents [21][22] Strategic Positioning - Tilray's established international infrastructure and diversified strategy position it well for capturing long-term value as global cannabis markets evolve [23] - Cresco is taking initial steps into international markets while maintaining solid positions in limited-license U.S. states, using partnerships to mitigate domestic volatility [24]

Core Insights - Tilray Medical is expanding its global medical cannabis operations with significant international developments, including a joint venture in Panama and new product launches in Germany and Australia [1][2][3] Group 1: International Expansion - Tilray Medical established Solana Life Group in Panama, receiving a medical cannabis license to cultivate, manufacture, and distribute locally, aiming to improve patient access [1] - The company expanded its Tilray Craft portfolio in Germany by launching five new cannabis flower products at its EU GMP certified facility in Neumünster, reinforcing its leadership in medical cannabis [2] - A strategic partnership with Italy's Molteni aims to enhance the availability of Tilray Medical cannabis extracts for patients in Italy [3] Group 2: Product Innovation - Tilray introduced its first medical cannabis edible, Good Supply Pastilles, in Australia, highlighting its commitment to innovative and patient-focused treatment solutions [3] Group 3: Peer Updates - Village Farms International reported a 690% year-over-year increase in international medical export sales, with commercial shipments to the Netherlands contributing $2.4 million to revenues [4] - Curaleaf Holdings is expanding its international business, recently obtaining a license to operate in Turkey and launching products in Australia, while also achieving EU-MDR certification for a cannabis inhalation device [5] Group 4: Financial Performance - Tilray Brands' shares increased by 34.8% over the past three months, significantly outperforming the industry, which saw a 3.2% decline [6] - The company currently trades at a forward 12-month Price-to-Sales (P/S) ratio of 2.94X, below the industry average of 3.16X [8]

Core Insights - Tilray Brands (TLRY) shares have surged 94.5% over the past three months, significantly outperforming the industry which saw a 2.5% decline [1][9] - The stock's rise is attributed to optimism regarding potential federal regulations for hemp-derived products and indications of relaxed marijuana restrictions by President Donald Trump [2][9] - The company reported record first-quarter net revenues of $210 million, contributing to a strengthened balance sheet [2][9] Financial Performance - In the first quarter of fiscal 2026, Tilray Brands achieved a net income of $1.5 million, a significant turnaround from a net loss of $34.7 million in the same period last year [7][9] - Adjusted net income improved to $3.9 million from an adjusted net loss of $6 million year-over-year, driven by lower selling, general and administrative expenses and reduced amortization [7][9] Global Expansion - Tilray Medical is expanding its global footprint, establishing Solana Life Group in Panama to cultivate and distribute medical cannabis [4][9] - The company launched five new cannabis flower products in Germany and entered a strategic partnership with Italy's Molteni to enhance the availability of medical cannabis extracts [5][9] - In Australia, Tilray introduced its first medical cannabis edible, Good Supply Pastilles, emphasizing innovation in patient-focused treatment solutions [6][9] Competitive Landscape - Tilray Brands operates in a competitive market, facing challenges from peers like Village Farms International and Curaleaf Holdings, both pursuing international expansion and cost optimization [10] - As Tilray gains traction in international markets, competitive responses from these companies may intensify [10] Market Estimates and Challenges - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for fiscal 2026 sales indicates a year-over-year improvement of 6.8%, while loss per share is expected to deteriorate by 600% year-over-year [11] - The company faces challenges from price compression and regulatory issues in Canada, including high excise taxes and limited retail channels for cannabis beverages [12][14] - In Europe, growth is hindered by permit delays in Portugal and quota restrictions in Germany, along with currency volatility impacting performance [13][14] Valuation - Tilray shares are currently trading at a forward one-year price-to-sales (P/S) ratio of 1.52X, which is a discount compared to the industry average of 3.16X [15]