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UBER vs. GRAB: Which Ride-Hailing Stock is a Stronger Play Now?
ZACKSยท 2025-05-19 15:15
Core Viewpoint - The analysis compares Uber and Grab, highlighting Uber's global reach and diversified services against Grab's regional focus and adaptability in Southeast Asia [3][4][9]. Group 1: Uber's Performance and Strategy - Uber's ride-sharing and delivery platforms are experiencing strong demand, contributing to positive financial results [4]. - In Q2 2025, Uber's gross bookings are projected to be between $45.75 billion and $47.25 billion, reflecting a 16-20% growth on a constant currency basis compared to Q2 2024 [5]. - Uber's earnings estimates for 2025 are $2.84, with a year-over-year growth estimate of -37.72%, but a positive outlook for 2026 with a 22.90% growth estimate [6]. - The company is pursuing strategic partnerships to enter the robotaxi market, avoiding high R&D costs, and is actively engaging in acquisitions and geographic diversification [6]. - Uber generated a record $6.9 billion in free cash flow in 2024 and announced a $1.5 billion accelerated stock buyback program, indicating confidence in its business strategy [7]. Group 2: Grab's Growth and Challenges - Grab has successfully adapted to local conditions in Southeast Asia, evolving from a taxi-hailing app to a comprehensive service platform [9]. - In Q1 2025, Grab's On-Demand Gross Merchandise Value (GMV) increased by 16% year-over-year, with expected revenues between $3.33 billion and $3.40 billion for 2025, indicating a 19-22% growth [10]. - Grab has partnered with Amazon Web Services (AWS) to enhance operational efficiency and drive growth across its services [11][12]. - Grab's earnings estimates for 2025 are $0.05, with a significant year-over-year growth estimate of 266.67% [13]. Group 3: Valuation and Market Position - Uber's forward sales multiple is 3.58, above its three-year median of 2.54, while Grab's is 5.78, exceeding its median of 4.85 [16]. - Uber's market capitalization stands at $191.95 billion, positioning it well to navigate economic uncertainties [18]. - Grab, with a market capitalization of $20.5 billion, faces challenges due to its narrower geographical focus and intense competition in the delivery segment [19]. - The analysis concludes that Uber is a more favorable investment compared to Grab, despite both companies currently holding a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) [20].